Football · China Super League · 11/10, 13:35
Prediction: Liaoning Ironman vs Wuhan Three Towns
Team pages: Liaoning Ironman · Wuhan Three Towns
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.3Total
Liaoning Ironman1.69
Wuhan Three Towns1.61
1X2
Liaoning Ironman
Draw
Wuhan Three Towns
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Liaoning Ironman
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Wuhan Three Towns
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Liaoning Ironman
1–1–1
Wuhan Three Towns
(3 last)
- Wuhan Three Towns2-2Liaoning Ironman
- Wuhan Three Towns2-3Liaoning Ironman
- Liaoning Ironman1-3Wuhan Three Towns
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wuhan Three Towns (rating 1450 vs 1492).
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Liaoning Ironman | Wuhan Three Towns | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.9 | 1.7 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/20/70% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 4.9 | 3 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Liaoning Ironman 1–1–1 Wuhan Three Towns
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 China Super League | Wuhan Three Towns | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Liaoning Ironman |
| 05/06/21 China Division 1 | Wuhan Three Towns | 2-3 HT 2-1 | Liaoning Ironman |
| 11/05/21 China Division 1 | Liaoning Ironman | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Wuhan Three Towns |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 51 | 30 | 52 |
| 2 | Dalian Young Boy | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 42 | 40 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 49 | 33 | 38 |
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 54 | 51 | 38 |
| 5 | Qingdao West Coast | 26 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 31 | 32 | 38 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 37 |
| 7 | Shanghai Port | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 33 | 33 |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 31 |
| 9 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 32 | 31 |
| 10 | Zhejiang | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 45 | 43 | 31 |
| 11 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 34 | 45 | 28 |
| 12 | Henan | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 35 | 27 |
| 13 | Liaoning Ironman | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 34 | 47 | 25 |
| 14 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36 | 32 | 25 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 46 | 21 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 34 | 53 | 14 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Liaoning Ironman | Wuhan Three Towns |
|---|---|---|
| Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Chengdu Rongcheng | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Henan | 4-4 D | 1-1 D |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Dalian Young Boy | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Qingdao West Coast | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 5 L | 2 W 4 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Wuhan Three Towns (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Liaoning Ironman
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 06/09 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Henan China Super League |
0-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 17/07 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 04/07 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
Wuhan Three Towns
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Zhejiang China Super League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Henan China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 14/08 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 25/07 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Liaoning Ironman vs Wuhan Three Towns?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Liaoning Ironman win (39%). Probabilities: Liaoning Ironman 39%, draw 25%, Wuhan Three Towns 36%.
How many goals are expected in Liaoning Ironman vs Wuhan Three Towns?
The model expects 3.3 goals (Liaoning Ironman 1.69 · Wuhan Three Towns 1.61), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Liaoning Ironman vs Wuhan Three Towns?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.