Football · China Super League · 18/10, 13:00
Prediction: Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao West Coast
Team pages: Beijing Guoan · Qingdao West Coast
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.02Total
Beijing Guoan2.05
Qingdao West Coast0.98
1X2
Beijing Guoan
Draw
Qingdao West Coast
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Beijing Guoan
5-5-0 (W-D-L)
Qingdao West Coast
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Beijing Guoan
3–3–0
Qingdao West Coast
(6 last)
- Qingdao West Coast1-1Beijing Guoan
- Qingdao West Coast1-3Beijing Guoan
- Qingdao West Coast1-1Beijing Guoan
- Beijing Guoan1-0Qingdao West Coast
- Qingdao West Coast2-2Beijing Guoan
- Beijing Guoan4-1Qingdao West Coast
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Beijing Guoan (rating 1602 vs 1496).
- H2H favours Beijing Guoan: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Beijing Guoan | Qingdao West Coast | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1 | 0.9 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.1 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/30/0% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 3.9 | 1.9 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Beijing Guoan 3–3–0 Qingdao West Coast
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/26 China Super League | Qingdao West Coast | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Beijing Guoan |
| 16/08/25 China Super League | Qingdao West Coast | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Beijing Guoan |
| 22/07/25 China FA Cup | Qingdao West Coast | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Beijing Guoan |
| 17/06/25 China Super League | Beijing Guoan | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Qingdao West Coast |
| 11/08/24 China Super League | Qingdao West Coast | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Beijing Guoan |
| 21/04/24 China Super League | Beijing Guoan | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Qingdao West Coast |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 51 | 31 | 52 |
| 2 | Dalian Young Boy | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 42 | 42 | 43 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 52 | 33 | 41 |
| 4 | Shandong Taishan | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 47 | 44 | 38 |
| 5 | Yunnan Yukun | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 55 | 58 | 38 |
| 6 | Qingdao West Coast | 27 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 31 | 36 | 38 |
| 7 | Shanghai Port | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 44 | 35 | 36 |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 59 | 47 | 34 |
| 9 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28 | 33 | 32 |
| 10 | Zhejiang | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 47 | 47 | 31 |
| 11 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 47 | 29 |
| 12 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37 | 32 | 28 |
| 13 | Henan | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 35 | 37 | 28 |
| 14 | Liaoning Ironman | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 35 | 48 | 26 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 40 | 47 | 22 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 34 | 56 | 14 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Beijing Guoan | Qingdao West Coast |
|---|---|---|
| Qingdao Hainiu | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Dalian Young Boy | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 4-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 4-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Chengdu Rongcheng | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Liaoning Ironman | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 0 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Beijing Guoan (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Beijing Guoan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 28/08 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
1-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 18/08 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 15/08 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
2-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 07/08 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Zhejiang China Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 17/07 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
Qingdao West Coast
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 14/08 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 09/08 | Henan China Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 02/08 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 8 | W |
| 17/07 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 11/07 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao West Coast?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Beijing Guoan win (61%). Probabilities: Beijing Guoan 61%, draw 23%, Qingdao West Coast 16%.
How many goals are expected in Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao West Coast?
The model expects 3.02 goals (Beijing Guoan 2.05 · Qingdao West Coast 0.98), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao West Coast?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.