Football · China Super League · 18/10, 14:00
Prediction: Shanghai Port vs Chengdu Rongcheng
Team pages: Shanghai Port · Chengdu Rongcheng
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.14Total
Shanghai Port1.76
Chengdu Rongcheng1.38
1X2
Shanghai Port
Draw
Chengdu Rongcheng
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Shanghai Port
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Chengdu Rongcheng
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shanghai Port
2–4
Chengdu Rongcheng
(6 last)
- Chengdu Rongcheng0-1Shanghai Port
- Chengdu Rongcheng4-1Shanghai Port
- Shanghai Port1-3Chengdu Rongcheng
- Chengdu Rongcheng3-1Shanghai Port
- Shanghai Port2-0Chengdu Rongcheng
- Chengdu Rongcheng2-1Shanghai Port
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shanghai Port 1604 · Chengdu Rongcheng 1472
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Chengdu Rongcheng | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 25% | 29% |
| Market | 46% | 24% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.14 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shanghai Port (rating 1604 vs 1472).
- H2H favours Chengdu Rongcheng: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shanghai Port | Chengdu Rongcheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.1 | 1.4 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.3 | 2.7 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 4.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shanghai Port 2–0–4 Chengdu Rongcheng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/26 China Super League | Chengdu Rongcheng | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Shanghai Port |
| 30/08/25 China Super League | Chengdu Rongcheng | 4-1 HT 3-1 | Shanghai Port |
| 20/04/25 China Super League | Shanghai Port | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Chengdu Rongcheng |
| 18/10/24 China Super League | Chengdu Rongcheng | 3-1 HT 3-1 | Shanghai Port |
| 22/05/24 China Super League | Shanghai Port | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Chengdu Rongcheng |
| 23/09/23 China Super League | Chengdu Rongcheng | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Shanghai Port |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 51 | 31 | 52 |
| 2 | Dalian Young Boy | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 43 | 46 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 52 | 33 | 41 |
| 4 | Shandong Taishan | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 52 | 44 | 41 |
| 5 | Yunnan Yukun | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 56 | 59 | 39 |
| 6 | Qingdao West Coast | 27 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 31 | 36 | 38 |
| 7 | Shanghai Port | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 44 | 35 | 36 |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 59 | 47 | 34 |
| 9 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 29 | 34 | 33 |
| 10 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 32 | 31 |
| 11 | Zhejiang | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 47 | 52 | 31 |
| 12 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 37 | 50 | 29 |
| 13 | Liaoning Ironman | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 39 | 48 | 29 |
| 14 | Henan | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 38 | 28 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 40 | 47 | 22 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 34 | 60 | 14 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shanghai Port | Chengdu Rongcheng |
|---|---|---|
| Zhejiang | 4-2 W | 3-2 W |
| Beijing Guoan | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Wuhan Three Towns | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Shanghai Shenhua | 2-0 W | 4-5 L |
| Yunnan Yukun | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Shanghai Port (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shanghai Port
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Zhejiang China Super League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | D |
| 28/08 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 19/08 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 14/08 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 25/07 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 17/07 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
Chengdu Rongcheng
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 06/09 | Henan China Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 10 | D |
| 29/08 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
2-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Zhejiang China Super League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 26/07 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 17/07 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 11/07 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 15 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shanghai Port vs Chengdu Rongcheng?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shanghai Port win (46%). Probabilities: Shanghai Port 46%, draw 25%, Chengdu Rongcheng 29%.
How many goals are expected in Shanghai Port vs Chengdu Rongcheng?
The model expects 3.14 goals (Shanghai Port 1.76 · Chengdu Rongcheng 1.38), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Shanghai Port vs Chengdu Rongcheng?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.