Football · China Super League · 17/10, 13:35

Prediction: Qingdao Hainiu vs Liaoning Ironman

Team pages: Qingdao Hainiu · Liaoning Ironman

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.1Total

Qingdao Hainiu1.43

Liaoning Ironman1.66

1X2

32% 26% 42%

Qingdao Hainiu Draw Liaoning Ironman

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Qingdao Hainiu 0-0-10 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLLL

Liaoning Ironman 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DLWLLDLLLD

Head-to-head

Qingdao Hainiu 2–3–1 Liaoning Ironman (6 last)

Liaoning Ironman2-1Qingdao Hainiu
Liaoning Ironman0-0Qingdao Hainiu
Qingdao Hainiu2-0Liaoning Ironman
Liaoning Ironman0-3Qingdao Hainiu
Qingdao Hainiu0-0Liaoning Ironman
Liaoning Ironman1-1Qingdao Hainiu

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Liaoning Ironman (rating 1366 vs 1456).
H2H favours Qingdao Hainiu: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Qingdao Hainiu	Liaoning Ironman
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 2.8	1.1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.4	0.3 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/20/80%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.9	2.8 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.97

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:48

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.15 → 3.15	Pinn 3.15
X	3.65 → 3.65	Pinn 3.65
2	2.15 → 2.15	Pinn 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.7%

Time*	1	X	2
15:05 +43’	3.15	3.65	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Qingdao Hainiu 2–3–1 Liaoning Ironman

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/05/26 China Super League	Liaoning Ironman	2-1 HT 1-0	Qingdao Hainiu
21/05/25 China FA Cup	Liaoning Ironman	0-0 HT 0-0	Qingdao Hainiu
03/12/22 China Division 1	Qingdao Hainiu	2-0 HT 0-0	Liaoning Ironman
09/11/22 China Division 1	Liaoning Ironman	0-3 HT 0-3	Qingdao Hainiu
28/09/19 China Division 2	Qingdao Hainiu	0-0 HT 0-0	Liaoning Ironman
15/06/19 China Division 2	Liaoning Ironman	1-1 HT 1-0	Qingdao Hainiu

Standings · China Super League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chengdu Rongcheng	27	15	7	5	51	31	52
2	Beijing Guoan	27	12	10	5	52	33	41
3	Dalian Young Boy	26	12	4	10	38	42	40
4	Qingdao West Coast	26	8	14	4	31	32	38
5	Yunnan Yukun	27	11	5	11	55	58	38
6	Shandong Taishan	26	13	4	9	46	43	37
7	Shanghai Port	27	11	8	8	44	35	36
8	Shanghai Shenhua	27	13	5	9	59	47	34
9	Chongqing Tonglianglong	26	7	10	9	27	32	31
10	Zhejiang	27	10	6	11	47	47	31
11	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	27	8	5	14	36	47	29
12	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers	27	10	8	9	37	32	28
13	Henan	27	8	10	9	35	37	28
14	Liaoning Ironman	26	7	4	15	34	47	25
15	Wuhan Three Towns	26	5	11	10	39	46	21
16	Qingdao Hainiu	27	6	3	18	34	56	14

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Qingdao Hainiu	Liaoning Ironman
Beijing Guoan	0-3 L	1-1 D
Dalian Young Boy	1-2 L	0-1 L
Wuhan Three Towns	1-5 L	1-1 D
Shanghai Shenhua	0-1 L	3-1 W
Qingdao West Coast	0-2 L	0-1 L
Tianjin Jinmen Tigers	0-2 L	0-1 L
Henan	1-5 L	4-4 D
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 7 L	1 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Liaoning Ironman (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Qingdao Hainiu

LLLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Beijing Guoan China Super League	0-2	0-3	2	3	L
05/09	Dalian Young Boy China Super League	1-2	1-2	4	2	L
29/08	Wuhan Three Towns China Super League	0-2	1-5	7	5	L
23/08	Shanghai Port China Super League	1-1	1-2	2	4	L
14/08	Shandong Taishan China Super League	1-2	1-3	4	3	L
08/08	Shanghai Shenhua China Super League	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
02/08	Qingdao West Coast China Super League	0-1	0-2	1	5	L
25/07	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
17/07	Henan China Super League	0-2	1-5	2	1	L
14/07	Zhejiang China Super League	0-1	2-3	6	5	L

Liaoning Ironman

DLWLLDLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Wuhan Three Towns China Super League	0-0	1-1	6	8	D
12/09	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League	0-1	0-1	3	0	L
06/09	Yunnan Yukun China Super League	0-2	0-5	6	3	L
29/08	Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League	0-1	1-2	6	4	L
23/08	Henan China Super League	0-2	4-4	8	3	D
15/08	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League	1-1	1-2	6	4	L
08/08	Dalian Young Boy China Super League	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
02/08	Shanghai Shenhua China Super League	2-0	3-1	4	5	W
25/07	Qingdao West Coast China Super League	0-0	0-1	2	8	L
17/07	Beijing Guoan China Super League	0-1	1-1	4	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Qingdao Hainiu vs Liaoning Ironman?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Liaoning Ironman win (42%). Probabilities: Qingdao Hainiu 32%, draw 26%, Liaoning Ironman 42%.

How many goals are expected in Qingdao Hainiu vs Liaoning Ironman?

The model expects 3.1 goals (Qingdao Hainiu 1.43 · Liaoning Ironman 1.66), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Qingdao Hainiu vs Liaoning Ironman?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.