Football · China Super League · 11/10, 13:35
Prediction: Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Shandong Taishan
Team pages: Chongqing Tonglianglong · Shandong Taishan
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.74Total
Chongqing Tonglianglong1.28
Shandong Taishan1.46
1X2
Chongqing Tonglianglong
Draw
Shandong Taishan
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Chongqing Tonglianglong
0-4-6 (W-D-L)
Shandong Taishan
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chongqing Tonglianglong
0–2
Shandong Taishan
(2 last)
- Shandong Taishan3-1Chongqing Tonglianglong
- Chongqing Tonglianglong3-6Shandong Taishan
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shandong Taishan (rating 1421 vs 1504).
- H2H favours Shandong Taishan: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chongqing Tonglianglong | Shandong Taishan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.6 | 1.6 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.2 | 1.3 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.1 | 3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chongqing Tonglianglong 0–0–2 Shandong Taishan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 China Super League | Shandong Taishan | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Chongqing Tonglianglong |
| 22/06/24 China FA Cup | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 3-6 HT 0-1 | Shandong Taishan |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 51 | 30 | 52 |
| 2 | Dalian Young Boy | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 42 | 40 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 49 | 33 | 38 |
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 54 | 51 | 38 |
| 5 | Qingdao West Coast | 26 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 31 | 32 | 38 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 37 |
| 7 | Shanghai Port | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 33 | 33 |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 31 |
| 9 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 32 | 31 |
| 10 | Zhejiang | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 45 | 43 | 31 |
| 11 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 34 | 45 | 28 |
| 12 | Henan | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 35 | 27 |
| 13 | Liaoning Ironman | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 34 | 47 | 25 |
| 14 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36 | 32 | 25 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 46 | 21 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 34 | 53 | 14 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chongqing Tonglianglong | Shandong Taishan |
|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Shenhua | 1-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Henan | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Dalian Young Boy | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Qingdao West Coast | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Shanghai Port | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 4 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chongqing Tonglianglong
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Henan China Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 14/08 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 09/08 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
2-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | Zhejiang China Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 11/07 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 04/07 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
Shandong Taishan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 28/08 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 14/08 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | Henan China Super League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 18/07 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 10/07 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
3-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 04/07 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Shandong Taishan?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Shandong Taishan win (40%). Probabilities: Chongqing Tonglianglong 32%, draw 28%, Shandong Taishan 40%.
How many goals are expected in Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Shandong Taishan?
The model expects 2.74 goals (Chongqing Tonglianglong 1.28 · Shandong Taishan 1.46), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Shandong Taishan?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.