Football · China Super League · 17/10, 13:00
Prediction: Dalian Young Boy vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Team pages: Dalian Young Boy · Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.87Total
Dalian Young Boy1.87
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1.01
1X2
Dalian Young Boy
Draw
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Dalian Young Boy
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dalian Young Boy
1–2–0
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
(3 last)
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1-1Dalian Young Boy
- Dalian Young Boy2-1Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1-1Dalian Young Boy
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dalian Young Boy (rating 1563 vs 1489).
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dalian Young Boy | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.3 | 1.4 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.8 | 1.4 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0 | 3.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dalian Young Boy 1–2–0 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/26 China Super League | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Dalian Young Boy |
| 14/09/25 China Super League | Dalian Young Boy | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng |
| 26/04/25 China Super League | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Dalian Young Boy |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 51 | 31 | 52 |
| 2 | Beijing Guoan | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 52 | 33 | 41 |
| 3 | Dalian Young Boy | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 42 | 40 |
| 4 | Qingdao West Coast | 26 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 31 | 32 | 38 |
| 5 | Yunnan Yukun | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 55 | 58 | 38 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 37 |
| 7 | Shanghai Port | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 44 | 35 | 36 |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 59 | 47 | 34 |
| 9 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 32 | 31 |
| 10 | Zhejiang | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 47 | 47 | 31 |
| 11 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 47 | 29 |
| 12 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37 | 32 | 28 |
| 13 | Henan | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 35 | 37 | 28 |
| 14 | Liaoning Ironman | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 34 | 47 | 25 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 46 | 21 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 34 | 56 | 14 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dalian Young Boy | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng |
|---|---|---|
| Beijing Guoan | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Shanghai Port | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Yunnan Yukun | 1-3 L | 3-4 L |
| Liaoning Ironman | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Henan | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Zhejiang | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Shandong Taishan | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Wuhan Three Towns | 3-2 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 2 L | 2 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Dalian Young Boy (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dalian Young Boy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 28/08 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 19/08 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 31/07 | Henan China Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 26/07 | Zhejiang China Super League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 18/07 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Henan China Super League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 05/09 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 28/08 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Zhejiang China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dalian Young Boy vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dalian Young Boy win (56%). Probabilities: Dalian Young Boy 56%, draw 25%, Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 19%.
How many goals are expected in Dalian Young Boy vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng?
The model expects 2.87 goals (Dalian Young Boy 1.87 · Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 1.01), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Dalian Young Boy vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.