Football · China Super League · 24/10, 09:30
Prediction: Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Taishan
Team pages: Wuhan Three Towns · Shandong Taishan
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.63Total
Wuhan Three Towns1.83
Shandong Taishan1.8
1X2
Wuhan Three Towns
Draw
Shandong Taishan
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Wuhan Three Towns
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Shandong Taishan
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Wuhan Three Towns
0–3–3
Shandong Taishan
(6 last)
- Wuhan Three Towns1-1Shandong Taishan
- Shandong Taishan3-3Wuhan Three Towns
- Wuhan Three Towns1-5Shandong Taishan
- Shandong Taishan3-1Wuhan Three Towns
- Shandong Taishan0-0Wuhan Three Towns
- Wuhan Three Towns1-2Shandong Taishan
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shandong Taishan (rating 1473 vs 1523).
- H2H favours Shandong Taishan: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wuhan Three Towns | Shandong Taishan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.3 | 1.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.3 | 1.5 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.5 | 3.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wuhan Three Towns 0–3–3 Shandong Taishan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07/26 China FA Cup | Wuhan Three Towns | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Shandong Taishan |
| 24/05/26 China Super League | Shandong Taishan | 3-3 HT 2-2 | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 22/11/25 China Super League | Wuhan Three Towns | 1-5 HT 0-2 | Shandong Taishan |
| 25/06/25 China Super League | Shandong Taishan | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 21/09/24 China Super League | Shandong Taishan | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 11/05/24 China Super League | Wuhan Three Towns | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Shandong Taishan |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 51 | 34 | 52 |
| 2 | Dalian Young Boy | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 43 | 46 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 53 | 33 | 44 |
| 4 | Shandong Taishan | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 52 | 44 | 41 |
| 5 | Shanghai Port | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 47 | 35 | 39 |
| 6 | Yunnan Yukun | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 56 | 59 | 39 |
| 7 | Qingdao West Coast | 28 | 8 | 14 | 6 | 31 | 37 | 38 |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 62 | 48 | 37 |
| 9 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 29 | 34 | 33 |
| 10 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 32 | 31 |
| 11 | Zhejiang | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 47 | 52 | 31 |
| 12 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 37 | 50 | 29 |
| 13 | Liaoning Ironman | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 39 | 48 | 29 |
| 14 | Henan | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 38 | 28 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 41 | 50 | 22 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 34 | 60 | 14 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Wuhan Three Towns | Shandong Taishan |
|---|---|---|
| Zhejiang | 1-4 L | 5-0 W |
| Henan | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Qingdao West Coast | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Qingdao Hainiu | 5-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Shanghai Port | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 2 L | 4 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Wuhan Three Towns (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wuhan Three Towns
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 18/09 | Zhejiang China Super League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Henan China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 14/08 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 25/07 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 2 | W |
Shandong Taishan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Zhejiang China Super League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 11/10 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 28/08 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 14/08 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | Henan China Super League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 18/07 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Taishan?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Wuhan Three Towns win (39%). Probabilities: Wuhan Three Towns 39%, draw 24%, Shandong Taishan 38%.
How many goals are expected in Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Taishan?
The model expects 3.63 goals (Wuhan Three Towns 1.83 · Shandong Taishan 1.8), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Taishan?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.