Football · China Super League · 24/10, 09:30
Prediction: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Shanghai Shenhua
Team pages: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng · Shanghai Shenhua
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.23Total
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1.63
Shanghai Shenhua1.6
1X2
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Draw
Shanghai Shenhua
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Shanghai Shenhua
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2–2–2
Shanghai Shenhua
(6 last)
- Shanghai Shenhua1-2Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
- Shanghai Shenhua1-0Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng3-1Shanghai Shenhua
- Shanghai Shenhua2-2Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng0-0Shanghai Shenhua
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng0-1Shanghai Shenhua
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shanghai Shenhua (rating 1484 vs 1535).
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | Shanghai Shenhua | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.9 | 2.3 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/40/60% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.4 | 3.4 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.3 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 2–2–2 Shanghai Shenhua
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 China Super League | Shanghai Shenhua | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng |
| 31/10/25 China Super League | Shanghai Shenhua | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng |
| 14/06/25 China Super League | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 27/10/24 China Super League | Shanghai Shenhua | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng |
| 17/07/24 China FA Cup | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 26/05/24 China Super League | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Shanghai Shenhua |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 51 | 34 | 52 |
| 2 | Dalian Young Boy | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 43 | 46 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 53 | 33 | 44 |
| 4 | Shandong Taishan | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 52 | 44 | 41 |
| 5 | Shanghai Port | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 47 | 35 | 39 |
| 6 | Yunnan Yukun | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 56 | 59 | 39 |
| 7 | Qingdao West Coast | 28 | 8 | 14 | 6 | 31 | 37 | 38 |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 62 | 48 | 37 |
| 9 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 29 | 34 | 33 |
| 10 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 32 | 31 |
| 11 | Zhejiang | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 47 | 52 | 31 |
| 12 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 37 | 50 | 29 |
| 13 | Liaoning Ironman | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 39 | 48 | 29 |
| 14 | Henan | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 38 | 28 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 41 | 50 | 22 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 34 | 60 | 14 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | Shanghai Shenhua |
|---|---|---|
| Henan | 2-2 D | 4-1 W |
| Shandong Taishan | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Shanghai Port | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Liaoning Ironman | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Beijing Guoan | 0-4 L | 0-3 L |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Yunnan Yukun | 3-4 L | 7-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 09/10 | Henan China Super League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 05/09 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 28/08 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Zhejiang China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
Shanghai Shenhua
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
2-1 | 7-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 28/08 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
1-2 | 5-4 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 18/08 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 15/08 | Henan China Super League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 25/07 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Shanghai Shenhua?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shenzhen Xinpengcheng win (38%). Probabilities: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 38%, draw 25%, Shanghai Shenhua 37%.
How many goals are expected in Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Shanghai Shenhua?
The model expects 3.23 goals (Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 1.63 · Shanghai Shenhua 1.6), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Shanghai Shenhua?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.