Football · China Super League · 24/10, 09:30
Prediction: Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Qingdao Hainiu
Team pages: Chongqing Tonglianglong · Qingdao Hainiu
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.57Total
Chongqing Tonglianglong1.79
Qingdao Hainiu0.79
1X2
Chongqing Tonglianglong
Draw
Qingdao Hainiu
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Chongqing Tonglianglong
0-5-5 (W-D-L)
Qingdao Hainiu
0-0-10 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1–0
Qingdao Hainiu
(1 last)
- Qingdao Hainiu0-1Chongqing Tonglianglong
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chongqing Tonglianglong (rating 1449 vs 1354).
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chongqing Tonglianglong | Qingdao Hainiu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.4 | 0.5 / 2.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 0/20/80% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 5.1 | 1.4 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0 | 3.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chongqing Tonglianglong 1–0–0 Qingdao Hainiu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 China Super League | Qingdao Hainiu | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Chongqing Tonglianglong |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 51 | 34 | 52 |
| 2 | Dalian Young Boy | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 43 | 46 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 53 | 33 | 44 |
| 4 | Shandong Taishan | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 52 | 44 | 41 |
| 5 | Shanghai Port | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 47 | 35 | 39 |
| 6 | Yunnan Yukun | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 56 | 59 | 39 |
| 7 | Qingdao West Coast | 28 | 8 | 14 | 6 | 31 | 37 | 38 |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 62 | 48 | 37 |
| 9 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 29 | 34 | 33 |
| 10 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 32 | 31 |
| 11 | Zhejiang | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 47 | 52 | 31 |
| 12 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 37 | 50 | 29 |
| 13 | Liaoning Ironman | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 39 | 48 | 29 |
| 14 | Henan | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 38 | 28 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 41 | 50 | 22 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 34 | 60 | 14 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chongqing Tonglianglong | Qingdao Hainiu |
|---|---|---|
| Shandong Taishan | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Shanghai Shenhua | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Henan | 1-1 D | 1-5 L |
| Dalian Young Boy | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Qingdao West Coast | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Shanghai Port | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Wuhan Three Towns | 0-1 L | 1-5 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 4 L | 0 W 0 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: Chongqing Tonglianglong (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chongqing Tonglianglong
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 11/10 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Henan China Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 14/08 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 09/08 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
2-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | Zhejiang China Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
Qingdao Hainiu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 09/10 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 14/08 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 25/07 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 17/07 | Henan China Super League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Qingdao Hainiu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chongqing Tonglianglong win (60%). Probabilities: Chongqing Tonglianglong 60%, draw 25%, Qingdao Hainiu 15%.
How many goals are expected in Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Qingdao Hainiu?
The model expects 2.57 goals (Chongqing Tonglianglong 1.79 · Qingdao Hainiu 0.79), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Qingdao Hainiu?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.