Football · China Super League · 24/10, 09:30
Prediction: Henan vs Beijing Guoan
Team pages: Henan · Beijing Guoan
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.17Total
Henan1.42
Beijing Guoan1.75
1X2
Henan
Draw
Beijing Guoan
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Henan
1-7-2 (W-D-L)
Beijing Guoan
5-5-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Henan
3–1–2
Beijing Guoan
(6 last)
- Beijing Guoan1-2Henan
- Beijing Guoan3-0Henan
- Henan2-0Beijing Guoan
- Beijing Guoan1-0Henan
- Beijing Guoan1-1Henan
- Henan2-1Beijing Guoan
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Beijing Guoan (rating 1496 vs 1600).
- H2H favours Henan: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Henan | Beijing Guoan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.5 | 2.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.2 | 1.1 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 70/30/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6.1 | 2.4 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.3 | 3.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Henan 3–1–2 Beijing Guoan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 China Super League | Beijing Guoan | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Henan |
| 06/12/25 China FA Cup | Beijing Guoan | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Henan |
| 12/09/25 China Super League | Henan | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Beijing Guoan |
| 25/04/25 China Super League | Beijing Guoan | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Henan |
| 02/11/24 China Super League | Beijing Guoan | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Henan |
| 15/06/24 China Super League | Henan | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Beijing Guoan |
Standings · China Super League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 51 | 34 | 52 |
| 2 | Dalian Young Boy | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 43 | 46 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 53 | 33 | 44 |
| 4 | Shandong Taishan | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 52 | 44 | 41 |
| 5 | Shanghai Port | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 47 | 35 | 39 |
| 6 | Yunnan Yukun | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 56 | 59 | 39 |
| 7 | Qingdao West Coast | 28 | 8 | 14 | 6 | 31 | 37 | 38 |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 62 | 48 | 37 |
| 9 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 29 | 34 | 33 |
| 10 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 32 | 31 |
| 11 | Zhejiang | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 47 | 52 | 31 |
| 12 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 37 | 50 | 29 |
| 13 | Liaoning Ironman | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 39 | 48 | 29 |
| 14 | Henan | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 38 | 28 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 41 | 50 | 22 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 34 | 60 | 14 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Henan | Beijing Guoan |
|---|---|---|
| Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 0-1 L | 4-2 W |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 2-2 D | 4-0 W |
| Chengdu Rongcheng | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Liaoning Ironman | 4-4 D | 1-1 D |
| Shanghai Shenhua | 1-4 L | 3-0 W |
| Dalian Young Boy | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 2 L | 3 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Beijing Guoan (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Henan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 09/10 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 12/09 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 10 | D |
| 29/08 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
2-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 31/07 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 26/07 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
Beijing Guoan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 28/08 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
1-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 18/08 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 15/08 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
2-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 07/08 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Zhejiang China Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 17/07 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Henan vs Beijing Guoan?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Beijing Guoan win (44%). Probabilities: Henan 30%, draw 25%, Beijing Guoan 44%.
How many goals are expected in Henan vs Beijing Guoan?
The model expects 3.17 goals (Henan 1.42 · Beijing Guoan 1.75), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Henan vs Beijing Guoan?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.