Football · Australia SA Premier League Women · 25/07, 09:00
Prediction: MetroStars (W) vs Flinders United (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.13Total
MetroStars (W)3.06
Flinders United (W)1.06
1X2
MetroStars (W)
Draw
Flinders United (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
MetroStars (W)
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Flinders United (W)
0-0-10 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
MetroStars (W)
1–0
Flinders United (W)
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · MetroStars (W) 1419 · Flinders United (W) 1361
| MetroStars (W) | Draw | Flinders United (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 14% | 9% |
| Market | 88% | 7% | 5% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.13 goals · Bet365 line 4.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MetroStars (W) (rating 1419 vs 1361).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| MetroStars (W) | Flinders United (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.9 | 0.3 / 5.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 0.3 / 1.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.4 | 1.9 / 2.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 0.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · MetroStars (W) 1–0–0 Flinders United (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 Australia SA Premier League Women | Flinders United (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | MetroStars (W) |
Standings · Australia SA Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Adelaide (W) | 15 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 52 | 8 | 42 |
| 2 | West Torrens Birkalla (W) | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 30 |
| 3 | Salisbury Inter (W) | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 46 | 18 | 29 |
| 4 | Adelaide Comets (W) | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 46 | 21 | 29 |
| 5 | Campbelltown City (W) | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 36 | 19 | 26 |
| 6 | Ffsa Ntc Women | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 28 | 20 |
| 7 | Adelaide University (W) | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 35 | 15 |
| 8 | Modbury Vista (W) | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 41 | 10 |
| 9 | MetroStars (W) | 15 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 16 | 45 | 9 |
| 10 | Flinders United (W) | 14 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 64 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | MetroStars (W) | Flinders United (W) |
|---|---|---|
| West Torrens Birkalla (W) | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Modbury Vista (W) | 5-4 W | 1-2 L |
| Adelaide University (W) | 1-2 L | 0-4 L |
| Salisbury Inter (W) | 1-7 L | 0-8 L |
| West Adelaide (W) | 1-5 L | 0-9 L |
| Campbelltown City (W) | 0-1 L | 0-8 L |
| Adelaide Comets (W) | 1-3 L | 1-9 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 6 L | 0 W 0 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: MetroStars (W) (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
MetroStars (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Ffsa Ntc Women Australia SA Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | West Torrens Birkalla (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 27/06 | Modbury Vista (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
2-1 | 5-4 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 19/06 | Adelaide University (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Salisbury Inter (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
1-4 | 1-7 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | West Adelaide (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-5 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Campbelltown City (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Ffsa Ntc Women Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 08/05 | Adelaide Comets (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | Flinders United (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
Flinders United (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Adelaide Comets (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
1-2 | 1-9 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 03/07 | Campbelltown City (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-5 | 0-8 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 17/06 | West Torrens Birkalla (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | Adelaide University (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | Modbury Vista (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 22/05 | West Adelaide (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-4 | 0-9 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | Salisbury Inter (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-8 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 01/05 | MetroStars (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 17/04 | Adelaide Comets (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-5 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 10/04 | Campbelltown City (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
1-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in MetroStars (W) vs Flinders United (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a MetroStars (W) win (83%). Probabilities: MetroStars (W) 83%, draw 10%, Flinders United (W) 7%.
How many goals are expected in MetroStars (W) vs Flinders United (W)?
The model expects 4.13 goals (MetroStars (W) 3.06 · Flinders United (W) 1.06), with a 53% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in MetroStars (W) vs Flinders United (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.