Football · Australia SA Premier League Women · 01/08, 07:45

Prediction: Modbury Vista (W) vs Campbelltown City (W)

Team pages: Modbury Vista (W) · Campbelltown City (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.38Total

Modbury Vista (W)1.19

Campbelltown City (W)3.19

1X2

9% 13% 79%

Modbury Vista (W) Draw Campbelltown City (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-3

Recent form · 10 last

Modbury Vista (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WDLWLLLDLL

Campbelltown City (W) 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WDWLWWWWWD

Head-to-head

Modbury Vista (W) 0–1–0 Campbelltown City (W) (1 last)

Campbelltown City (W)3-3Modbury Vista (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Modbury Vista (W) 1441 · Campbelltown City (W) 1585

	Modbury Vista (W)	Draw	Campbelltown City (W)
Our model	10%	14%	76%
Market	8%	12%	81%

Estimated total (ours) 4.38 goals · Bet365 line 4.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 83%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Campbelltown City (W) (rating 1441 vs 1585).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Modbury Vista (W)	Campbelltown City (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.8	3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.4	1.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.2	1.6 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.6 / 0	1.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

112.00

X8.00

21.14

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.85

2 (-2.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 4.252.00

Under 4.251.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 4.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	1.14 → 1.14	Bet365 1.14

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.4%

Time*	1	X	2
04:59 +14’	12.00	8.00	1.14

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Modbury Vista (W) 0–1–0 Campbelltown City (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Australia SA Premier League Women	Campbelltown City (W)	3-3 HT 2-2	Modbury Vista (W)

Standings · Australia SA Premier League Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	West Adelaide (W)	17	16	0	1	59	9	48
2	Salisbury Inter (W)	16	9	5	2	49	19	32
3	Adelaide Comets (W)	16	9	3	4	48	23	30
4	West Torrens Birkalla (W)	16	9	3	4	28	20	30
5	Campbelltown City (W)	16	8	3	5	38	21	27
6	Ffsa Ntc Women	16	6	2	8	20	33	20
7	Adelaide University (W)	16	5	3	8	25	35	18
8	MetroStars (W)	16	4	0	12	24	45	12
9	Modbury Vista (W)	16	2	4	10	22	44	10
10	Flinders United (W)	15	0	1	14	8	72	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Modbury Vista (W)	Campbelltown City (W)
Adelaide University (W)	0-3 L	5-0 W
West Adelaide (W)	0-3 L	1-0 W
Salisbury Inter (W)	2-2 D	0-2 L
MetroStars (W)	4-5 L	1-0 W
Adelaide Comets (W)	0-4 L	2-2 D
Ffsa Ntc Women	0-2 L	5-1 W
Flinders United (W)	2-1 W	8-0 W
West Torrens Birkalla (W)	1-3 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 6 L	6 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Campbelltown City (W) (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Modbury Vista (W)

WDLWLLLDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Adelaide University (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	0-0	0-3	7	0	L
17/07	West Adelaide (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	0-3	0-3	2	0	L
04/07	Salisbury Inter (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	2-1	2-2	1	0	D
27/06	MetroStars (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	1-2	4-5	7	2	L
20/06	Adelaide Comets (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	0-1	0-4	2	2	L
15/06	Ffsa Ntc Women Australia SA Premier League Women	0-1	0-2	3	0	L
30/05	Flinders United (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	0-1	2-1	7	1	W
22/05	West Torrens Birkalla (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	0-2	1-3	6	0	L
08/05	Campbelltown City (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	2-2	3-3	4	1	D
02/05	Adelaide University (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	1-1	4-2	3	0	W

Campbelltown City (W)

WDWLWWWWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Adelaide Comets (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	1-1	2-2	3	0	D
18/07	Adelaide University (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	4-0	5-0	2	0	W
03/07	Flinders United (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	5-0	8-0	8	0	W
27/06	West Adelaide (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	0-0	1-0	1	1	W
19/06	Ffsa Ntc Women Australia SA Premier League Women	4-0	5-1	4	2	W
13/06	West Torrens Birkalla (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	0-0	2-0	6	4	W
29/05	Salisbury Inter (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	0-1	0-2	5	0	L
23/05	MetroStars (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	0-0	1-0	9	3	W
08/05	Modbury Vista (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	2-2	3-3	4	1	D
02/05	Adelaide Comets (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	2-1	3-2	4	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Modbury Vista (W) vs Campbelltown City (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Campbelltown City (W) win (79%). Probabilities: Modbury Vista (W) 9%, draw 13%, Campbelltown City (W) 79%.

How many goals are expected in Modbury Vista (W) vs Campbelltown City (W)?

The model expects 4.38 goals (Modbury Vista (W) 1.19 · Campbelltown City (W) 3.19), with a 52% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Modbury Vista (W) vs Campbelltown City (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.