Football · Australia SA Premier League Women · 24/07, 12:45
Prediction: Adelaide University (W) vs Modbury Vista (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.78Total
Adelaide University (W)1.99
Modbury Vista (W)1.78
1X2
Adelaide University (W)
Draw
Modbury Vista (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Adelaide University (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Modbury Vista (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Adelaide University (W)
1–1–1
Modbury Vista (W)
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adelaide University (W) 1443 · Modbury Vista (W) 1442
| Adelaide University (W) | Draw | Modbury Vista (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 23% | 34% |
| Market | 43% | 23% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.78 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Adelaide University (W) | Modbury Vista (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.3 | 1.6 / 2.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.4 | 0.6 / 1.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 2.2 | 1.3 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.6 / 0.1 | 0.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Adelaide University (W) 1–1–1 Modbury Vista (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Australia SA Premier League Women | Modbury Vista (W) | 4-2 HT 1-1 | Adelaide University (W) |
| 20/08/22 Australia SA Premier League Women | Adelaide University (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Modbury Vista (W) |
| 27/05/22 Australia SA Premier League Women | Modbury Vista (W) | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Adelaide University (W) |
Standings · Australia SA Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Adelaide (W) | 15 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 52 | 8 | 42 |
| 2 | West Torrens Birkalla (W) | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 30 |
| 3 | Salisbury Inter (W) | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 46 | 18 | 29 |
| 4 | Adelaide Comets (W) | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 46 | 21 | 29 |
| 5 | Campbelltown City (W) | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 36 | 19 | 26 |
| 6 | Ffsa Ntc Women | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 28 | 20 |
| 7 | Adelaide University (W) | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 35 | 15 |
| 8 | Modbury Vista (W) | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 41 | 10 |
| 9 | MetroStars (W) | 15 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 16 | 45 | 9 |
| 10 | Flinders United (W) | 14 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 64 | 1 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Adelaide University (W) | Modbury Vista (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Campbelltown City (W) | 0-5 L | 3-3 D |
| West Adelaide (W) | 0-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Salisbury Inter (W) | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| MetroStars (W) | 2-1 W | 4-5 L |
| Flinders United (W) | 4-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Adelaide Comets (W) | 0-3 L | 0-4 L |
| Ffsa Ntc Women | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| West Torrens Birkalla (W) | 0-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 5 L | 1 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Adelaide University (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adelaide University (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Campbelltown City (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-4 | 0-5 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 03/07 | West Adelaide (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | Salisbury Inter (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 19/06 | MetroStars (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Flinders United (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 29/05 | Adelaide Comets (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/05 | Ffsa Ntc Women Australia SA Premier League Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 09/05 | West Torrens Birkalla (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Modbury Vista (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
1-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 17/04 | Campbelltown City (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
Modbury Vista (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | West Adelaide (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 04/07 | Salisbury Inter (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 27/06 | MetroStars (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
1-2 | 4-5 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Adelaide Comets (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 15/06 | Ffsa Ntc Women Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | Flinders United (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 22/05 | West Torrens Birkalla (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 08/05 | Campbelltown City (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
2-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 02/05 | Adelaide University (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
1-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 18/04 | West Adelaide (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adelaide University (W) vs Modbury Vista (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Adelaide University (W) win (43%). Probabilities: Adelaide University (W) 43%, draw 23%, Modbury Vista (W) 35%.
How many goals are expected in Adelaide University (W) vs Modbury Vista (W)?
The model expects 3.78 goals (Adelaide University (W) 1.99 · Modbury Vista (W) 1.78), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Adelaide University (W) vs Modbury Vista (W)?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.