Football · Australia SA Premier League Women · 24/07, 12:30

Prediction: West Torrens Birkalla (W) vs West Adelaide (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.39Total

West Torrens Birkalla (W)1.04

West Adelaide (W)2.35

1X2

16% 18% 67%

West Torrens Birkalla (W) Draw West Adelaide (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

West Torrens Birkalla (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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West Adelaide (W) 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

West Torrens Birkalla (W) 0–1–5 West Adelaide (W) (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · West Torrens Birkalla (W) 1531 · West Adelaide (W) 1619

	West Torrens Birkalla (W)	Draw	West Adelaide (W)
Our model	15%	20%	66%
Market	16%	16%	67%

Estimated total (ours) 3.39 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours West Adelaide (W) (rating 1531 vs 1619).
H2H favours West Adelaide (W): 5-1-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	West Torrens Birkalla (W)	West Adelaide (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.1	3.2 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.3	1.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 2.8	2.5 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.5 / 0	0.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

15.50

X5.50

21.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.95

2 (-1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.85

Under 3.751.95

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.2

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:53 +17’	5.50	5.50	1.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · West Torrens Birkalla (W) 0–1–5 West Adelaide (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/07/26 Australia SA Cup Women	West Adelaide (W)	2-1 HT 0-1	West Torrens Birkalla (W)
01/05/26 Australia SA Premier League Women	West Adelaide (W)	3-0 HT 2-0	West Torrens Birkalla (W)
20/06/25 Australia SA Premier League Women	West Adelaide (W)	7-1 HT 3-0	West Torrens Birkalla (W)
22/03/25 Australia SA Premier League Women	West Torrens Birkalla (W)	1-5 HT 1-1	West Adelaide (W)
28/06/24 Australia SA Premier League Women	West Adelaide (W)	4-1 HT 0-1	West Torrens Birkalla (W)
06/04/24 Australia SA Premier League Women	West Torrens Birkalla (W)	3-3 HT 1-2	West Adelaide (W)

Standings · Australia SA Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	West Adelaide (W)	15	14	0	1	52	8	42
2	West Torrens Birkalla (W)	15	9	3	3	27	15	30
3	Salisbury Inter (W)	15	8	5	2	46	18	29
4	Adelaide Comets (W)	15	9	2	4	46	21	29
5	Campbelltown City (W)	15	8	2	5	36	19	26
6	Ffsa Ntc Women	14	6	2	6	19	28	20
7	Adelaide University (W)	15	4	3	8	22	35	15
8	Modbury Vista (W)	15	2	4	9	22	41	10
9	MetroStars (W)	15	3	0	12	16	45	9
10	Flinders United (W)	14	0	1	13	8	64	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	West Torrens Birkalla (W)	West Adelaide (W)
Salisbury Inter (W)	2-2 D	2-1 W
MetroStars (W)	2-0 W	5-1 W
Adelaide Comets (W)	1-1 D	3-1 W
Flinders United (W)	3-0 W	9-0 W
Campbelltown City (W)	0-2 L	0-1 L
Ffsa Ntc Women	1-0 W	2-0 W
Modbury Vista (W)	3-1 W	3-0 W
Adelaide University (W)	3-0 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 1 L	7 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: West Adelaide (W) (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

West Torrens Birkalla (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Salisbury Inter (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	0-0	2-2	3	1	D
11/07	West Adelaide (W) Australia SA Cup Women	1-0	1-2	0	2	L
04/07	MetroStars (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	1-0	2-0	4	1	W
26/06	Adelaide Comets (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	1-1	1-1	4	0	D
17/06	Flinders United (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	2-0	3-0	7	1	W
13/06	Campbelltown City (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	0-0	0-2	0	4	L
31/05	Ffsa Ntc Women Australia SA Premier League Women	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
22/05	Modbury Vista (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	2-0	3-1	0	0	W
09/05	Adelaide University (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	2-0	3-0	7	2	W
01/05	West Adelaide (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	0-2	0-3	1	1	L

West Adelaide (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/07	Modbury Vista (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	3-0	3-0	8	0	W
11/07	West Torrens Birkalla (W) Australia SA Cup Women	0-1	2-1	13	2	W
03/07	Adelaide University (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	2-0	3-0	9	0	W
27/06	Campbelltown City (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	0-0	0-1	6	1	L
19/06	Salisbury Inter (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	0-1	2-1	2	2	W
12/06	Adelaide Comets (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	2-0	3-1	4	2	W
30/05	MetroStars (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	0-1	5-1	5	1	W
22/05	Flinders United (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	4-0	9-0	8	0	W
09/05	Ffsa Ntc Women Australia SA Premier League Women	1-0	2-0	9	0	W
01/05	West Torrens Birkalla (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	2-0	3-0	6	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in West Torrens Birkalla (W) vs West Adelaide (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an West Adelaide (W) win (67%). Probabilities: West Torrens Birkalla (W) 16%, draw 18%, West Adelaide (W) 67%.

How many goals are expected in West Torrens Birkalla (W) vs West Adelaide (W)?

The model expects 3.39 goals (West Torrens Birkalla (W) 1.04 · West Adelaide (W) 2.35), with a 55% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in West Torrens Birkalla (W) vs West Adelaide (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.