Football · Australia SA Premier League Women · 01/08, 09:00

Prediction: MetroStars (W) vs Adelaide Comets (W)

Team pages: MetroStars (W) · Adelaide Comets (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.36Total

MetroStars (W)1.36

Adelaide Comets (W)3

1X2

14% 16% 70%

MetroStars (W) Draw Adelaide Comets (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-3

Recent form · 10 last

MetroStars (W) 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLWLLW

Adelaide Comets (W) 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWDWLWDWWD

Head-to-head

MetroStars (W) 0–1 Adelaide Comets (W) (1 last)

Adelaide Comets (W)3-1MetroStars (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MetroStars (W) 1432 · Adelaide Comets (W) 1562

	MetroStars (W)	Draw	Adelaide Comets (W)
Our model	14%	16%	70%
Market	14%	16%	70%

Estimated total (ours) 4.36 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adelaide Comets (W) (rating 1432 vs 1562).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MetroStars (W)	Adelaide Comets (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2.9	3.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1	1.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.3	2.7 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.9 / 0	1.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

16.50

X5.50

21.28

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.75)1.85

2 (-1.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 41.90

Under 41.90

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 4.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
05:11 +1’	6.50	5.50	1.28

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MetroStars (W) 0–0–1 Adelaide Comets (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Australia SA Premier League Women	Adelaide Comets (W)	3-1 HT 1-0	MetroStars (W)

Standings · Australia SA Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	West Adelaide (W)	17	16	0	1	59	9	48
2	Salisbury Inter (W)	16	9	5	2	49	19	32
3	Adelaide Comets (W)	16	9	3	4	48	23	30
4	West Torrens Birkalla (W)	16	9	3	4	28	20	30
5	Campbelltown City (W)	16	8	3	5	38	21	27
6	Ffsa Ntc Women	16	6	2	8	20	33	20
7	Adelaide University (W)	16	5	3	8	25	35	18
8	MetroStars (W)	16	4	0	12	24	45	12
9	Modbury Vista (W)	16	2	4	10	22	44	10
10	Flinders United (W)	15	0	1	14	8	72	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MetroStars (W)	Adelaide Comets (W)
Flinders United (W)	8-0 W	9-1 W
Ffsa Ntc Women	1-2 L	5-0 W
West Torrens Birkalla (W)	0-2 L	1-1 D
Modbury Vista (W)	5-4 W	4-0 W
Adelaide University (W)	1-2 L	3-0 W
Salisbury Inter (W)	1-7 L	2-2 D
West Adelaide (W)	1-5 L	1-3 L
Campbelltown City (W)	0-1 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 6 L	4 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Adelaide Comets (W) (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MetroStars (W)

LLLLLLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Flinders United (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	5-0	8-0	2	0	W
18/07	Ffsa Ntc Women Australia SA Premier League Women	1-0	1-2	2	3	L
04/07	West Torrens Birkalla (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	0-1	0-2	5	1	L
27/06	Modbury Vista (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	2-1	5-4	5	2	W
19/06	Adelaide University (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	0-2	1-2	4	2	L
13/06	Salisbury Inter (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	1-4	1-7	2	2	L
30/05	West Adelaide (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	1-0	1-5	0	1	L
23/05	Campbelltown City (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
16/05	Ffsa Ntc Women Australia SA Premier League Women	0-1	0-3	8	3	L
08/05	Adelaide Comets (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	0-1	1-3	4	2	L

Adelaide Comets (W)

LWDWLWDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Campbelltown City (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	1-1	2-2	4	0	D
18/07	Flinders United (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	2-1	9-1	11	0	W
03/07	Ffsa Ntc Women Australia SA Premier League Women	3-0	5-0	3	0	W
26/06	West Torrens Birkalla (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	1-1	1-1	2	0	D
20/06	Modbury Vista (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	1-0	4-0	5	2	W
12/06	West Adelaide (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	0-2	1-3	4	2	L
29/05	Adelaide University (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	2-0	3-0	2	2	W
22/05	Salisbury Inter (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	1-1	2-2	11	3	D
08/05	MetroStars (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	1-0	3-1	3	2	W
02/05	Campbelltown City (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	1-2	2-3	2	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MetroStars (W) vs Adelaide Comets (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Adelaide Comets (W) win (70%). Probabilities: MetroStars (W) 14%, draw 16%, Adelaide Comets (W) 70%.

How many goals are expected in MetroStars (W) vs Adelaide Comets (W)?

The model expects 4.36 goals (MetroStars (W) 1.36 · Adelaide Comets (W) 3), with a 52% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in MetroStars (W) vs Adelaide Comets (W)?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.