Football · China Super League · 15/08, 13:35
Prediction: Tianjin Jinmen Tigers vs Beijing Guoan
Team pages: Tianjin Jinmen Tigers · Beijing Guoan
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.98Total
Tianjin Jinmen Tigers1.64
Beijing Guoan1.34
1X2
Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
Draw
Beijing Guoan
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Beijing Guoan
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
1–3–2
Beijing Guoan
(6 last)
- Beijing Guoan2-4Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
- Beijing Guoan2-2Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
- Tianjin Jinmen Tigers2-2Beijing Guoan
- Beijing Guoan2-0Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
- Tianjin Jinmen Tigers0-1Beijing Guoan
- Tianjin Jinmen Tigers0-0Beijing Guoan
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Beijing Guoan: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | Beijing Guoan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.9 | 2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.4 | 3.4 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tianjin Jinmen Tigers 1–3–2 Beijing Guoan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 China Super League | Beijing Guoan | 2-4 HT 0-2 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers |
| 03/08/25 China Super League | Beijing Guoan | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers |
| 02/04/25 China Super League | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Beijing Guoan |
| 21/07/24 China Super League | Beijing Guoan | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers |
| 30/04/24 China Super League | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Beijing Guoan |
| 09/08/23 China Super League | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Beijing Guoan |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 22 | 45 |
| 2 | Dalian Young Boy | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 36 | 32 |
| 3 | Yunnan Yukun | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 31 |
| 4 | Qingdao West Coast | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 26 | 29 | 31 |
| 5 | Beijing Guoan | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 27 | 29 |
| 6 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 24 | 29 |
| 7 | Shandong Taishan | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 27 |
| 8 | Zhejiang | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 31 | 36 | 24 |
| 9 | Liaoning Ironman | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 33 | 24 |
| 10 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 22 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 41 | 23 |
| 11 | Shanghai Shenhua | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 34 | 22 |
| 12 | Henan | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 25 | 22 |
| 13 | Shanghai Port | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 19 |
| 14 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 24 | 17 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 35 | 15 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 41 | 14 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | Beijing Guoan |
|---|---|---|
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 3-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong | 0-1 L | 3-2 W |
| Henan | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Chengdu Rongcheng | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Beijing Guoan (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 18/07 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 2 | L |
| 19/06 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China FA Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 31/05 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 19/05 | Henan China Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 15/05 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
Beijing Guoan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Zhejiang China Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 21/07 | Dalian Kewei China FA Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 17/07 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 04/07 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 19/06 | Guangdong GZ-Power China FA Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Henan China Super League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tianjin Jinmen Tigers vs Beijing Guoan?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tianjin Jinmen Tigers win (43%). Probabilities: Tianjin Jinmen Tigers 43%, draw 26%, Beijing Guoan 30%.
How many goals are expected in Tianjin Jinmen Tigers vs Beijing Guoan?
The model expects 2.98 goals (Tianjin Jinmen Tigers 1.64 · Beijing Guoan 1.34), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Tianjin Jinmen Tigers vs Beijing Guoan?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.