Football · China Super League · 18/07, 13:00
Prediction: Qingdao West Coast vs Chengdu Rongcheng
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.09Total
Qingdao West Coast1.55
Chengdu Rongcheng1.55
1X2
Qingdao West Coast
Draw
Chengdu Rongcheng
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Qingdao West Coast
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Chengdu Rongcheng
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Qingdao West Coast
0–3–2
Chengdu Rongcheng
(5 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chengdu Rongcheng (rating 1519 vs 1574).
- H2H favours Chengdu Rongcheng: 2-3-0.
- High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Qingdao West Coast | Chengdu Rongcheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.5 | 1.6 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.5 | 3.9 / 8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.2 | 5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Qingdao West Coast 0–3–2 Chengdu Rongcheng
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/26 China Super League | Chengdu Rongcheng | 5-1 HT 2-0 | Qingdao West Coast |
| 26/10/25 China Super League | Qingdao West Coast | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Chengdu Rongcheng |
| 17/05/25 China Super League | Chengdu Rongcheng | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Qingdao West Coast |
| 27/10/24 China Super League | Qingdao West Coast | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Chengdu Rongcheng |
| 26/05/24 China Super League | Chengdu Rongcheng | 7-0 HT 3-0 | Qingdao West Coast |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 41 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 27 |
| 3 | Dalian Young Boy | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 31 | 25 |
| 4 | Shandong Taishan | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 31 | 24 |
| 5 | Yunnan Yukun | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 33 | 24 |
| 6 | Qingdao West Coast | 17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 25 | 24 |
| 7 | Beijing Guoan | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 23 | 21 |
| 8 | Liaoning Ironman | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 29 | 20 |
| 9 | Shanghai Shenhua | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 27 | 19 |
| 10 | Zhejiang | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 29 | 17 |
| 11 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 31 | 17 |
| 12 | Shanghai Port | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 15 |
| 13 | Henan | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 22 | 15 |
| 14 | Qingdao Hainiu | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | 14 |
| 15 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 8 |
| 16 | Wuhan Three Towns | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 8 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Qingdao West Coast | Chengdu Rongcheng |
|---|---|---|
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 0-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Shanghai Port | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Dalian Young Boy | 3-2 W | 0-2 L |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Qingdao West Coast
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 04/07 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 28/06 | Zhejiang China Super League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 19/06 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China FA Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 19/05 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 15/05 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 05/05 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
Chengdu Rongcheng
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 15 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 27/06 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 9 | 8 | W |
| 20/06 | Shanghai Zetian China FA Cup |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 19/05 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 11 | L |
| 15/05 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Henan China Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 05/05 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Qingdao West Coast vs Chengdu Rongcheng?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Qingdao West Coast win (37%). Probabilities: Qingdao West Coast 37%, draw 26%, Chengdu Rongcheng 37%.
How many goals are expected in Qingdao West Coast vs Chengdu Rongcheng?
The model expects 3.09 goals (Qingdao West Coast 1.55 · Chengdu Rongcheng 1.55), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Qingdao West Coast vs Chengdu Rongcheng?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.