Football · China Super League · 10/10, 13:35

Prediction: Chengdu Rongcheng vs Tianjin Jinmen Tigers

Team pages: Chengdu Rongcheng · Tianjin Jinmen Tigers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.85Total

Chengdu Rongcheng1.55

Tianjin Jinmen Tigers1.3

1X2

42% 27% 31%

Chengdu Rongcheng Draw Tianjin Jinmen Tigers

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Chengdu Rongcheng 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

DDDDDLWLWD

Tianjin Jinmen Tigers 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWLLDDWW

Head-to-head

Chengdu Rongcheng 3–1–2 Tianjin Jinmen Tigers (6 last)

Tianjin Jinmen Tigers1-2Chengdu Rongcheng
Tianjin Jinmen Tigers2-1Chengdu Rongcheng
Chengdu Rongcheng1-2Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
Chengdu Rongcheng2-1Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
Tianjin Jinmen Tigers2-3Chengdu Rongcheng
Tianjin Jinmen Tigers2-2Chengdu Rongcheng

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Chengdu Rongcheng: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Chengdu Rongcheng	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.5	1.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 6.1	2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.89

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:33

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.69 → 1.65▼	Pinn 1.65
X	4.24 → 4.32▲	Pinn 4.32
2	4.29 → 4.50▲	Pinn 4.50

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
17:11 +542’	1.69	4.24	4.29
11:51 +42’	1.65▼	4.32▲	4.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Chengdu Rongcheng 3–1–2 Tianjin Jinmen Tigers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/05/26 China Super League	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers	1-2 HT 1-1	Chengdu Rongcheng
18/07/25 China Super League	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers	2-1 HT 0-0	Chengdu Rongcheng
02/03/25 China Super League	Chengdu Rongcheng	1-2 HT 1-1	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
12/07/24 China Super League	Chengdu Rongcheng	2-1 HT 1-1	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
06/04/24 China Super League	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers	2-3 HT 0-1	Chengdu Rongcheng
29/09/23 China Super League	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers	2-2 HT 1-1	Chengdu Rongcheng

Standings · China Super League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chengdu Rongcheng	26	15	7	4	51	30	52
2	Dalian Young Boy	26	12	4	10	38	42	40
3	Beijing Guoan	26	11	10	5	49	33	38
4	Yunnan Yukun	26	11	5	10	54	51	38
5	Qingdao West Coast	26	8	14	4	31	32	38
6	Shandong Taishan	26	13	4	9	46	43	37
7	Shanghai Port	26	10	8	8	40	33	33
8	Shanghai Shenhua	26	12	5	9	52	46	31
9	Chongqing Tonglianglong	26	7	10	9	27	32	31
10	Zhejiang	26	10	6	10	45	43	31
11	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	26	8	4	14	34	45	28
12	Henan	26	8	9	9	33	35	27
13	Liaoning Ironman	26	7	4	15	34	47	25
14	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers	26	9	8	9	36	32	25
15	Wuhan Three Towns	26	5	11	10	39	46	21
16	Qingdao Hainiu	26	6	3	17	34	53	14

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chengdu Rongcheng	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
Liaoning Ironman	2-1 W	1-0 W
Shanghai Shenhua	4-5 L	2-0 W
Zhejiang	3-2 W	2-1 W
Yunnan Yukun	0-1 L	3-2 W
Wuhan Three Towns	1-1 D	0-0 D
Beijing Guoan	2-2 D	2-4 L
Qingdao West Coast	1-1 D	1-1 D
Qingdao Hainiu	1-1 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 4 D 2 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tianjin Jinmen Tigers (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chengdu Rongcheng

DDDDDLWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Henan China Super League	0-0	0-0	0	10	D
29/08	Liaoning Ironman China Super League	1-0	2-1	7	4	W
22/08	Shanghai Shenhua China Super League	2-1	4-5	2	2	L
15/08	Zhejiang China Super League	1-2	3-2	7	5	W
08/08	Yunnan Yukun China Super League	0-0	0-1	6	1	L
01/08	Wuhan Three Towns China Super League	0-0	1-1	9	4	D
26/07	Beijing Guoan China Super League	0-0	2-2	4	4	D
17/07	Qingdao West Coast China Super League	0-1	1-1	4	6	D
11/07	Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League	1-0	1-1	15	4	D
05/07	Qingdao Hainiu China Super League	0-0	1-1	7	1	D

Tianjin Jinmen Tigers

WWWWLLDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Liaoning Ironman China Super League	1-0	1-0	3	0	W
06/09	Zhejiang China Super League	1-1	2-1	10	7	W
29/08	Qingdao West Coast China Super League	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
22/08	Wuhan Three Towns China Super League	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
15/08	Beijing Guoan China Super League	0-2	2-4	10	2	L
09/08	Shandong Taishan China Super League	0-0	1-2	1	4	L
01/08	Yunnan Yukun China Super League	0-1	3-2	3	3	W
25/07	Qingdao Hainiu China Super League	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
18/07	Shanghai Shenhua China Super League	0-0	2-0	2	2	W
04/07	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League	1-0	3-0	1	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chengdu Rongcheng vs Tianjin Jinmen Tigers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Chengdu Rongcheng win (42%). Probabilities: Chengdu Rongcheng 42%, draw 27%, Tianjin Jinmen Tigers 31%.

How many goals are expected in Chengdu Rongcheng vs Tianjin Jinmen Tigers?

The model expects 2.85 goals (Chengdu Rongcheng 1.55 · Tianjin Jinmen Tigers 1.3), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Chengdu Rongcheng vs Tianjin Jinmen Tigers?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.