Football · Australia SA Premier League Women · 18/07, 05:30
Prediction: Flinders United (W) vs Adelaide Comets (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.96Total
Flinders United (W)1.48
Adelaide Comets (W)3.48
1X2
Flinders United (W)
Draw
Adelaide Comets (W)
Markets
Under 5.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-3
Recent form · 10 last
Flinders United (W)
0-0-10 (W-D-L)
Adelaide Comets (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Flinders United (W)
0–1–5
Adelaide Comets (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Flinders United (W) 1368 · Adelaide Comets (W) 1556
| Flinders United (W) | Draw | Adelaide Comets (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 12% | 14% | 74% |
| Market | 2% | 4% | 94% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.96 goals · Bet365 line 5.5 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 84%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adelaide Comets (W) (rating 1368 vs 1556).
- H2H favours Adelaide Comets (W): 5-1-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Flinders United (W) | Adelaide Comets (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.2 / 4.7 | 3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.8 | 1.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/20/70% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 2.8 | 3 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.5 / 0.1 | 1.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Flinders United (W) 0–1–5 Adelaide Comets (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 Australia SA Premier League Women | Adelaide Comets (W) | 5-0 HT 0-0 | Flinders United (W) |
| 31/05/25 Australia SA Premier League Women | Flinders United (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Adelaide Comets (W) |
| 07/03/25 Australia SA Premier League Women | Adelaide Comets (W) | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Flinders United (W) |
| 28/06/24 Australia SA Premier League Women | Adelaide Comets (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Flinders United (W) |
| 05/04/24 Australia SA Premier League Women | Flinders United (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Adelaide Comets (W) |
| 26/05/23 Australia SA Premier League Women | Flinders United (W) | 1-9 HT 1-5 | Adelaide Comets (W) |
Standings · Australia SA Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Adelaide (W) | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 49 | 8 | 39 |
| 2 | West Torrens Birkalla (W) | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 13 | 29 |
| 3 | Salisbury Inter (W) | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 44 | 16 | 28 |
| 4 | Adelaide Comets (W) | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 37 | 20 | 26 |
| 5 | Campbelltown City (W) | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 19 | 23 |
| 6 | Ffsa Ntc Women | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 17 |
| 7 | Adelaide University (W) | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 30 | 15 |
| 8 | Modbury Vista (W) | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 38 | 10 |
| 9 | MetroStars (W) | 14 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 9 |
| 10 | Flinders United (W) | 13 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 55 | 1 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Flinders United (W) | Adelaide Comets (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Campbelltown City (W) | 0-8 L | 2-3 L |
| West Torrens Birkalla (W) | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Adelaide University (W) | 0-4 L | 3-0 W |
| Modbury Vista (W) | 1-2 L | 4-0 W |
| West Adelaide (W) | 0-9 L | 1-3 L |
| Salisbury Inter (W) | 0-8 L | 2-2 D |
| MetroStars (W) | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Ffsa Ntc Women | 0-2 L | 5-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 8 L | 4 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Adelaide Comets (W) (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Flinders United (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Campbelltown City (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-5 | 0-8 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 17/06 | West Torrens Birkalla (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | Adelaide University (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | Modbury Vista (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 22/05 | West Adelaide (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-4 | 0-9 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | Salisbury Inter (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-8 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 01/05 | MetroStars (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 17/04 | Adelaide Comets (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-5 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 10/04 | Campbelltown City (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
1-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 27/03 | Ffsa Ntc Women Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
Adelaide Comets (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Ffsa Ntc Women Australia SA Premier League Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 26/06 | West Torrens Birkalla (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 20/06 | Modbury Vista (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 12/06 | West Adelaide (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 29/05 | Adelaide University (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 22/05 | Salisbury Inter (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 08/05 | MetroStars (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Campbelltown City (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 17/04 | Flinders United (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 5-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 06/04 | Ffsa Ntc Women Australia SA Premier League Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Flinders United (W) vs Adelaide Comets (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Adelaide Comets (W) win (85%). Probabilities: Flinders United (W) 6%, draw 8%, Adelaide Comets (W) 85%.
How many goals are expected in Flinders United (W) vs Adelaide Comets (W)?
The model expects 4.96 goals (Flinders United (W) 1.48 · Adelaide Comets (W) 3.48), with a 57% chance of under 5.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Flinders United (W) vs Adelaide Comets (W)?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.