Football · Australia SA Premier League Women · 18/07, 07:30
Prediction: Adelaide University (W) vs Campbelltown City (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.5Total
Adelaide University (W)1.28
Campbelltown City (W)2.23
1X2
Adelaide University (W)
Draw
Campbelltown City (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Adelaide University (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Campbelltown City (W)
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Adelaide University (W)
2–2–1
Campbelltown City (W)
(5 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adelaide University (W) 1448 · Campbelltown City (W) 1579
| Adelaide University (W) | Draw | Campbelltown City (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 22% | 58% |
| Market | 21% | 21% | 59% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.5 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Campbelltown City (W) (rating 1448 vs 1579).
- H2H favours Adelaide University (W): 2-2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Adelaide University (W) | Campbelltown City (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.2 | 2.8 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 1.9 | 2.2 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.9 / 0.1 | 1.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Adelaide University (W) 2–2–1 Campbelltown City (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 Australia SA Premier League Women | Campbelltown City (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Adelaide University (W) |
| 28/06/25 Australia SA Premier League Women | Adelaide University (W) | 0-6 HT 0-4 | Campbelltown City (W) |
| 05/04/25 Australia SA Premier League Women | Campbelltown City (W) | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Adelaide University (W) |
| 23/06/17 Australia SA Premier League Women | Adelaide University (W) | 15-1 HT 6-1 | Campbelltown City (W) |
| 21/04/17 Australia SA Premier League Women | Campbelltown City (W) | 0-12 HT 0-5 | Adelaide University (W) |
Standings · Australia SA Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Adelaide (W) | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 49 | 8 | 39 |
| 2 | West Torrens Birkalla (W) | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 13 | 29 |
| 3 | Salisbury Inter (W) | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 44 | 16 | 28 |
| 4 | Adelaide Comets (W) | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 37 | 20 | 26 |
| 5 | Campbelltown City (W) | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 19 | 23 |
| 6 | Ffsa Ntc Women | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 17 |
| 7 | Adelaide University (W) | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 30 | 15 |
| 8 | Modbury Vista (W) | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 38 | 10 |
| 9 | MetroStars (W) | 14 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 9 |
| 10 | Flinders United (W) | 13 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 55 | 1 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Adelaide University (W) | Campbelltown City (W) |
|---|---|---|
| West Adelaide (W) | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Salisbury Inter (W) | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| MetroStars (W) | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Flinders United (W) | 4-0 W | 8-0 W |
| Adelaide Comets (W) | 0-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Ffsa Ntc Women | 2-2 D | 5-1 W |
| West Torrens Birkalla (W) | 0-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Modbury Vista (W) | 2-4 L | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 5 L | 6 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Campbelltown City (W) (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adelaide University (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | West Adelaide (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | Salisbury Inter (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 19/06 | MetroStars (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Flinders United (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 29/05 | Adelaide Comets (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/05 | Ffsa Ntc Women Australia SA Premier League Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 09/05 | West Torrens Birkalla (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Modbury Vista (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
1-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 17/04 | Campbelltown City (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 10/04 | West Adelaide (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
Campbelltown City (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Flinders United (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
5-0 | 8-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | West Adelaide (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 19/06 | Ffsa Ntc Women Australia SA Premier League Women |
4-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | West Torrens Birkalla (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 29/05 | Salisbury Inter (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | MetroStars (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 08/05 | Modbury Vista (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
2-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 02/05 | Adelaide Comets (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 17/04 | Adelaide University (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 10/04 | Flinders United (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
2-1 | 5-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adelaide University (W) vs Campbelltown City (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Campbelltown City (W) win (58%). Probabilities: Adelaide University (W) 21%, draw 21%, Campbelltown City (W) 58%.
How many goals are expected in Adelaide University (W) vs Campbelltown City (W)?
The model expects 3.5 goals (Adelaide University (W) 1.28 · Campbelltown City (W) 2.23), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Adelaide University (W) vs Campbelltown City (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.