Football · Australia SA Premier League Women · 17/07, 13:00
Prediction: West Adelaide (W) vs Modbury Vista (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.77Total
West Adelaide (W)3.38
Modbury Vista (W)1.38
1X2
West Adelaide (W)
Draw
Modbury Vista (W)
Markets
Over 4.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
West Adelaide (W)
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Modbury Vista (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
West Adelaide (W)
4–0
Modbury Vista (W)
(4 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · West Adelaide (W) 1610 · Modbury Vista (W) 1438
| West Adelaide (W) | Draw | Modbury Vista (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| Market | 94% | 4% | 2% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.77 goals · Bet365 line 5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 83%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours West Adelaide (W) (rating 1610 vs 1438).
- H2H favours West Adelaide (W): 4-0-0.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| West Adelaide (W) | Modbury Vista (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.3 / 0.5 | 1.7 / 3.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 1.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/10/30% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 6.9 | 1.6 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1 / 0 | 0.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · West Adelaide (W) 4–0–0 Modbury Vista (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Australia SA Premier League Women | Modbury Vista (W) | 0-4 HT 0-2 | West Adelaide (W) |
| 17/06/22 Australia SA Premier League Women | West Adelaide (W) | 7-2 HT 4-1 | Modbury Vista (W) |
| 22/04/22 Australia SA Cup Women | West Adelaide (W) | 5-1 HT 3-0 | Modbury Vista (W) |
| 01/04/22 Australia SA Premier League Women | Modbury Vista (W) | 0-9 HT 0-5 | West Adelaide (W) |
Standings · Australia SA Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Adelaide (W) | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 49 | 8 | 39 |
| 2 | West Torrens Birkalla (W) | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 13 | 29 |
| 3 | Salisbury Inter (W) | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 44 | 16 | 28 |
| 4 | Adelaide Comets (W) | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 37 | 20 | 26 |
| 5 | Campbelltown City (W) | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 19 | 23 |
| 6 | Ffsa Ntc Women | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 17 |
| 7 | Adelaide University (W) | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 30 | 15 |
| 8 | Modbury Vista (W) | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 38 | 10 |
| 9 | MetroStars (W) | 14 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 9 |
| 10 | Flinders United (W) | 13 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 55 | 1 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | West Adelaide (W) | Modbury Vista (W) |
|---|---|---|
| West Torrens Birkalla (W) | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Adelaide University (W) | 3-0 W | 4-2 W |
| Campbelltown City (W) | 0-1 L | 3-3 D |
| Salisbury Inter (W) | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Adelaide Comets (W) | 3-1 W | 0-4 L |
| MetroStars (W) | 5-1 W | 4-5 L |
| Flinders United (W) | 9-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Ffsa Ntc Women | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 7 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: West Adelaide (W) (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
West Adelaide (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | West Torrens Birkalla (W) Australia SA Cup Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 13 | 2 | W |
| 03/07 | Adelaide University (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Campbelltown City (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 19/06 | Salisbury Inter (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 12/06 | Adelaide Comets (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | MetroStars (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 22/05 | Flinders United (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
4-0 | 9-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Ffsa Ntc Women Australia SA Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 01/05 | West Torrens Birkalla (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | Modbury Vista (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
Modbury Vista (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Salisbury Inter (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 27/06 | MetroStars (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
1-2 | 4-5 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Adelaide Comets (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 15/06 | Ffsa Ntc Women Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | Flinders United (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 22/05 | West Torrens Birkalla (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 08/05 | Campbelltown City (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
2-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 02/05 | Adelaide University (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
1-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 18/04 | West Adelaide (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 10/04 | Salisbury Inter (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
1-2 | 1-5 | 4 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in West Adelaide (W) vs Modbury Vista (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a West Adelaide (W) win (85%). Probabilities: West Adelaide (W) 85%, draw 8%, Modbury Vista (W) 6%.
How many goals are expected in West Adelaide (W) vs Modbury Vista (W)?
The model expects 4.77 goals (West Adelaide (W) 3.38 · Modbury Vista (W) 1.38), with a 55% chance of under 5 goals.
Will both teams score in West Adelaide (W) vs Modbury Vista (W)?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.