Prediction: UD Alagoana (W) vs Vasco da Gama (W)
Team pages: UD Alagoana (W) · Vasco da Gama (W)
| UD Alagoana (W) | Draw | Vasco da Gama (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 8% | 14% | 77% |
| Market | 2% | 7% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vasco da Gama (W) (rating 1460 vs 1568).
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| UD Alagoana (W) | Vasco da Gama (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.6 | 2.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.2 | 1.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 67/11/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 2.3 | 3.8 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.3 | 3 / 0.1 |
Standings · Brazil Serie A2 Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vasco da Gama (W) | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 48 | 10 | 38 |
| 2 | Itabirito (W) | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 34 | 6 | 37 |
| 3 | Minas Brasilia DF (W) | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 33 |
| 4 | Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) | 14 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 12 | 30 |
| 5 | 3B Sport AM (W) | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 23 |
| 6 | Sociedade Acao (W) | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 22 |
| 7 | Sport Recife (W) | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 21 |
| 8 | Taubate (W) | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 17 | 18 |
| 9 | Perolas Negras (W) | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 19 | 17 |
| 10 | Paysandu (W) | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 14 |
| 11 | Rio Negro RR (W) | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 14 |
| 12 | Ceara (W) | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 13 |
| 13 | Vila Nova GO (W) | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 13 |
| 14 | Doce Mel EC (W) | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 13 |
| 15 | UD Alagoana (W) | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 7 |
| 16 | Itacoatiara (W) | 14 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 42 | 4 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | UD Alagoana (W) | Vasco da Gama (W) |
|---|---|---|
| 3B Sport AM (W) | 0-4 L | 3-3 D |
| Doce Mel EC (W) | 2-1 W | 5-0 W |
| Ceara (W) | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Vasco da Gama (W) (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
UD Alagoana (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | 3B Sport AM (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-0 | 0-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 25/07 | Doce Mel EC (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 01/06 | Sociedade Acao (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 28/05 | Ferroviaria (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
0-5 | 0-8 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Paysandu (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 20/05 | Itabirito (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Itacoatiara (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 13/05 | Ypiranga AP (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
2-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Perolas Negras (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 10 | D |
| 03/05 | Ceara (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
Vasco da Gama (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Minas Brasilia DF (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
2-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 25/07 | Vila Nova GO (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 22/07 | Sao Paulo (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Ceara (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 28/05 | America MG (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Doce Mel EC (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 20/05 | 3B Sport AM (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Rio Negro RR (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
3-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 12/05 | Araguari (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
4-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in UD Alagoana (W) vs Vasco da Gama (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Vasco da Gama (W) win (85%). Probabilities: UD Alagoana (W) 5%, draw 10%, Vasco da Gama (W) 85%.
How many goals are expected in UD Alagoana (W) vs Vasco da Gama (W)?
The model expects 3.82 goals (UD Alagoana (W) 0.91 · Vasco da Gama (W) 2.91), with a 54% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in UD Alagoana (W) vs Vasco da Gama (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.