Football · Estonia Meistriliiga Women · 12/09, 12:00
Prediction: Viimsi JK (W) vs Saku Sporting (W)
Team pages: Viimsi JK (W) · Saku Sporting (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.95Total
Viimsi JK (W)2.04
Saku Sporting (W)1.91
1X2
Viimsi JK (W)
Draw
Saku Sporting (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Viimsi JK (W)
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Saku Sporting (W)
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Viimsi JK (W)
3–3
Saku Sporting (W)
(6 last)
- Saku Sporting (W)1-2Viimsi JK (W)
- Viimsi JK (W)4-1Saku Sporting (W)
- Saku Sporting (W)3-2Viimsi JK (W)
- Saku Sporting (W)3-2Viimsi JK (W)
- Viimsi JK (W)4-0Saku Sporting (W)
- Saku Sporting (W)2-1Viimsi JK (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Viimsi JK (W) 1488 · Saku Sporting (W) 1530
| Viimsi JK (W) | Draw | Saku Sporting (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 22% | 36% |
| Market | 41% | 23% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.95 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Saku Sporting (W) (rating 1488 vs 1530).
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Viimsi JK (W) | Saku Sporting (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.7 | 3 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1 | 1.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3 | 4.1 / 7.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0 | 1.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Viimsi JK (W) 3–0–3 Saku Sporting (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/26 Estonia Meistriliiga Women | Saku Sporting (W) | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Viimsi JK (W) |
| 18/07/26 Estonia Meistriliiga Women | Viimsi JK (W) | 4-1 HT 3-1 | Saku Sporting (W) |
| 13/05/26 Estonia Cup Women | Saku Sporting (W) | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Viimsi JK (W) |
| 09/05/26 Estonia Meistriliiga Women | Saku Sporting (W) | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Viimsi JK (W) |
| 08/11/25 Estonia Meistriliiga Women | Viimsi JK (W) | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Saku Sporting (W) |
| 04/10/25 Estonia Meistriliiga Women | Saku Sporting (W) | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Viimsi JK (W) |
Standings · Estonia Meistriliiga Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Flora Tallinn (W) | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 49 | 21 | 36 |
| 2 | Paide Linnanaiskond (W) | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 48 | 27 | 33 |
| 3 | Saku Sporting (W) | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 45 | 38 | 29 |
| 4 | Viimsi JK (W) | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 26 | 27 |
| 5 | Harju JK Laagri (W) | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 47 | 12 |
| 6 | FC Elva (W) | 17 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 63 | 10 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Viimsi JK (W) | Saku Sporting (W) |
|---|---|---|
| FC Flora Tallinn (W) | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Paide Linnanaiskond (W) | 1-2 L | 4-2 W |
| Harju JK Laagri (W) | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| FC Elva (W) | 5-3 W | 5-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Saku Sporting (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Viimsi JK (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | FC Flora Tallinn (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Paide Linnanaiskond (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 20/08 | Harju JK Laagri (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Saku Sporting (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Paide Linnanaiskond (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 01/08 | FC Flora Tallinn (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 26/07 | FC Elva (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
3-3 | 5-3 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Saku Sporting (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
3-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 18/06 | FC Flora Tallinn (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Paide Linnanaiskond (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
Saku Sporting (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | FC Elva (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
2-0 | 5-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Harju JK Laagri (W) Estonia Esiliiga Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 23/08 | FC Elva (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
1-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 20/08 | FC Flora Tallinn (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Viimsi JK (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Harju JK Laagri (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
2-0 | 4-2 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | FC Elva (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
6-2 | 8-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Paide Linnanaiskond (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
3-2 | 4-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 23/07 | Harju JK Laagri (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Viimsi JK (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
1-3 | 1-4 | 9 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Viimsi JK (W) vs Saku Sporting (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Viimsi JK (W) win (41%). Probabilities: Viimsi JK (W) 41%, draw 23%, Saku Sporting (W) 36%.
How many goals are expected in Viimsi JK (W) vs Saku Sporting (W)?
The model expects 3.95 goals (Viimsi JK (W) 2.04 · Saku Sporting (W) 1.91), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Viimsi JK (W) vs Saku Sporting (W)?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.