Football · Estonia Meistriliiga Women · 06/09, 18:00

Prediction: Viimsi JK (W) vs FC Flora Tallinn (W)

Team pages: Viimsi JK (W) · FC Flora Tallinn (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.56Total

Viimsi JK (W)1.15

FC Flora Tallinn (W)2.41

1X2

16% 20% 64%

Viimsi JK (W) Draw FC Flora Tallinn (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-2 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Viimsi JK (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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FC Flora Tallinn (W) 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Viimsi JK (W) 1–3–2 FC Flora Tallinn (W) (6 last)

FC Flora Tallinn (W)0-0Viimsi JK (W)
FC Flora Tallinn (W)1-2Viimsi JK (W)
Viimsi JK (W)1-1FC Flora Tallinn (W)
FC Flora Tallinn (W)3-0Viimsi JK (W)
Viimsi JK (W)1-1FC Flora Tallinn (W)
Viimsi JK (W)1-4FC Flora Tallinn (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Viimsi JK (W) 1498 · FC Flora Tallinn (W) 1564

	Viimsi JK (W)	Draw	FC Flora Tallinn (W)
Our model	16%	20%	64%
Market	16%	21%	64%

Estimated total (ours) 3.56 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Flora Tallinn (W) (rating 1498 vs 1564).
H2H favours FC Flora Tallinn (W): 2-3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Viimsi JK (W)	FC Flora Tallinn (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.7	3.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.8	2.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.2	3.5 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

15.75

X4.33

21.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.93

2 (-1.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
17:46 +10’	5.75	4.33	1.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Viimsi JK (W) 1–3–2 FC Flora Tallinn (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/08/26 Estonia Meistriliiga Women	FC Flora Tallinn (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Viimsi JK (W)
18/06/26 Estonia Meistriliiga Women	FC Flora Tallinn (W)	1-2 HT 1-1	Viimsi JK (W)
01/05/26 Estonia Meistriliiga Women	Viimsi JK (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Flora Tallinn (W)
18/10/25 Estonia Meistriliiga Women	FC Flora Tallinn (W)	3-0 HT 1-0	Viimsi JK (W)
20/08/25 Estonia Meistriliiga Women	Viimsi JK (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	FC Flora Tallinn (W)
20/06/25 Estonia Meistriliiga Women	Viimsi JK (W)	1-4 HT 0-2	FC Flora Tallinn (W)

Standings · Estonia Meistriliiga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Flora Tallinn (W)	16	10	3	3	46	20	33
2	Paide Linnanaiskond (W)	16	10	0	6	45	27	30
3	Viimsi JK (W)	16	8	3	5	31	23	27
4	Saku Sporting (W)	16	8	2	6	40	37	26
5	Harju JK Laagri (W)	16	3	3	10	24	44	12
6	FC Elva (W)	16	3	1	12	23	58	10

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Viimsi JK (W)	FC Flora Tallinn (W)
Paide Linnanaiskond (W)	1-2 L	4-2 W
Harju JK Laagri (W)	0-2 L	5-1 W
Saku Sporting (W)	2-1 W	2-0 W
FC Elva (W)	5-3 W	7-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Flora Tallinn (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Viimsi JK (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Paide Linnanaiskond (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	0-1	1-2	2	3	L
20/08	Harju JK Laagri (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	0-0	0-2	4	1	L
15/08	Saku Sporting (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	0-0	2-1	3	3	W
09/08	Paide Linnanaiskond (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	1-2	1-3	4	0	L
01/08	FC Flora Tallinn (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
26/07	FC Elva (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	3-3	5-3	5	1	W
18/07	Saku Sporting (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	3-1	4-1	1	2	W
18/06	FC Flora Tallinn (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	1-1	2-1	2	3	W
13/06	Paide Linnanaiskond (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	1-0	2-1	3	1	W
09/05	Saku Sporting (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	1-0	2-3	6	2	L

FC Flora Tallinn (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	Harju JK Laagri (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	4-0	5-1	9	2	W
20/08	Saku Sporting (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	0-0	2-0	11	1	W
15/08	Paide Linnanaiskond (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	3-0	4-2	5	2	W
05/08	Paide Linnanaiskond (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	0-1	2-1	3	0	W
01/08	Viimsi JK (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
18/06	Viimsi JK (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	1-1	1-2	6	3	L
12/06	Harju JK Laagri (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	2-2	2-2	11	5	D
30/05	Saku Sporting (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	3-0	5-1	4	2	W
16/05	FC Elva (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	6-1	7-1	8	1	W
09/05	Paide Linnanaiskond (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	2-0	4-2	2	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Viimsi JK (W) vs FC Flora Tallinn (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Flora Tallinn (W) win (64%). Probabilities: Viimsi JK (W) 16%, draw 20%, FC Flora Tallinn (W) 64%.

How many goals are expected in Viimsi JK (W) vs FC Flora Tallinn (W)?

The model expects 3.56 goals (Viimsi JK (W) 1.15 · FC Flora Tallinn (W) 2.41), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Viimsi JK (W) vs FC Flora Tallinn (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.