Football · Estonia Esiliiga B · 20/07, 16:00

Prediction: JK Tammeka Tartu II vs JK Tallinna Kalev II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.59Total

JK Tammeka Tartu II3.16

JK Tallinna Kalev II1.43

1X2

71% 15% 14%

JK Tammeka Tartu II Draw JK Tallinna Kalev II

Markets

Over 4.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

3-1

Recent form · 10 last

JK Tammeka Tartu II 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWWWLDLW

JK Tallinna Kalev II 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWWLDLWL

Head-to-head

JK Tammeka Tartu II 3–3 JK Tallinna Kalev II (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JK Tammeka Tartu II 1528 · JK Tallinna Kalev II 1477

	JK Tammeka Tartu II	Draw	JK Tallinna Kalev II
Our model	71%	15%	14%
Market	71%	15%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 4.59 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JK Tammeka Tartu II (rating 1528 vs 1477).
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	JK Tammeka Tartu II	JK Tallinna Kalev II
Goals for / against (FT)	3.1 / 1.6	2.3 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.9	1.1 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.1	1.2 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.6	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.27

X6.00

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.85

2 (+2)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 4.51.85

Under 4.51.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 4.6

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 05:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.25 → 1.27▲	Bet365 1.27
X	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00
2	7.00 → 6.50▼	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.8%

Time*	1	X	2
03:42 +36’	1.25	6.00	7.00
05:07 +10’	1.27▲	6.00	6.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · JK Tammeka Tartu II 3–0–3 JK Tallinna Kalev II

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
28/05/26 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Tallinna Kalev II	0-1 HT 0-0	JK Tammeka Tartu II
11/04/26 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Tammeka Tartu II	3-2 HT 1-2	JK Tallinna Kalev II
22/09/25 Estonia Esiliiga	JK Tammeka Tartu II	4-5 HT 2-1	JK Tallinna Kalev II
01/08/25 Estonia Esiliiga	JK Tallinna Kalev II	5-0 HT 3-0	JK Tammeka Tartu II
25/05/25 Estonia Esiliiga	JK Tallinna Kalev II	6-1 HT 2-1	JK Tammeka Tartu II
20/04/25 Estonia Esiliiga	JK Tammeka Tartu II	5-1 HT 1-1	JK Tallinna Kalev II

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga B

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	JK Tammeka Tartu II	19	12	2	5	54	37	38
2	JK Viljandi Tulevik	19	11	1	7	55	39	34
3	Johvi FC Phoenix	19	11	1	7	49	47	34
4	JK Trans Narva II	18	10	2	6	44	28	32
5	Parnu JK Vaprus II	19	10	2	7	56	42	32
6	FC Levadia Tallinn U19	19	10	2	7	48	34	32
7	Tabasalu FC Charma	19	9	0	10	33	50	27
8	FA Tartu Kalev	19	8	1	10	49	42	25
9	JK Tallinna Kalev II	19	4	2	13	38	46	14
10	Tallinna JK Legion	18	2	1	15	16	77	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JK Tammeka Tartu II	JK Tallinna Kalev II
JK Trans Narva II	2-1 W	2-3 L
FC Levadia Tallinn U19	2-3 L	1-4 L
JK Viljandi Tulevik	2-2 D	3-4 L
Tabasalu FC Charma	1-3 L	1-2 L
Johvi FC Phoenix	4-2 W	1-2 L
Parnu JK Vaprus II	3-2 W	2-2 D
FA Tartu Kalev	2-2 D	7-2 W
Tallinna JK Legion	12-0 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: JK Tammeka Tartu II (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

JK Tammeka Tartu II

WDWWWWLDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/07	JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	2-1	2	6	W
04/07	FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B	1-1	2-3	1	3	L
22/06	JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	2-2	10	4	D
18/06	Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B	0-3	1-3	–	–	L
14/06	Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B	1-1	4-2	9	5	W
01/06	Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-2	3-2	7	7	W
28/05	JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	1-0	8	3	W
24/05	JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	2-1	5	11	W
16/05	FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B	1-1	2-2	5	6	D
09/05	Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B	5-0	12-0	8	5	W

JK Tallinna Kalev II

LLLWWLDLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/07	FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B	1-2	1-4	5	4	L
05/07	Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B	3-0	3-2	5	4	W
22/06	JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-1	2-3	1	1	L
19/06	Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-2	2-2	4	5	D
13/06	Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	1-2	3	4	L
10/06	JK Arsenal JA Pohja-Tallinna JK Volta Um Estonia Cup	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
01/06	FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B	2-1	7-2	2	6	W
28/05	JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
16/05	Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B	1-1	1-2	4	2	L
10/05	JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B	1-3	3-4	3	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JK Tammeka Tartu II vs JK Tallinna Kalev II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a JK Tammeka Tartu II win (71%). Probabilities: JK Tammeka Tartu II 71%, draw 15%, JK Tallinna Kalev II 14%.

How many goals are expected in JK Tammeka Tartu II vs JK Tallinna Kalev II?

The model expects 4.59 goals (JK Tammeka Tartu II 3.16 · JK Tallinna Kalev II 1.43), with a 50% chance of over 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in JK Tammeka Tartu II vs JK Tallinna Kalev II?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.