Football · Estonia Esiliiga B · 30/08, 14:00

Prediction: JK Tallinna Kalev II vs JK Viljandi Tulevik

Team pages: JK Tallinna Kalev II · JK Viljandi Tulevik

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.46Total

JK Tallinna Kalev II2.04

JK Viljandi Tulevik2.42

1X2

33% 20% 47%

JK Tallinna Kalev II Draw JK Viljandi Tulevik

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 64%

Most likely score

2-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

JK Tallinna Kalev II 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DLWLLLWDDD

JK Viljandi Tulevik 0-5-5 (W-D-L)

LDLLDDLLDD

Head-to-head

JK Tallinna Kalev II 2–1–3 JK Viljandi Tulevik (6 last)

JK Viljandi Tulevik4-3JK Tallinna Kalev II
JK Tallinna Kalev II1-2JK Viljandi Tulevik
JK Tallinna Kalev II7-2JK Viljandi Tulevik
JK Viljandi Tulevik1-1JK Tallinna Kalev II
JK Tallinna Kalev II3-0JK Viljandi Tulevik
JK Viljandi Tulevik2-0JK Tallinna Kalev II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JK Tallinna Kalev II 1491 · JK Viljandi Tulevik 1463

	JK Tallinna Kalev II	Draw	JK Viljandi Tulevik
Our model	33%	20%	47%
Market	33%	20%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 4.46 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 83%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours JK Viljandi Tulevik: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	JK Tallinna Kalev II	JK Viljandi Tulevik
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2.7	1.3 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.9	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 4.4	2.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0	4.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.70

X4.50

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.90

Under 4.251.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
05:59 +5’	2.70	4.50	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · JK Tallinna Kalev II 2–1–3 JK Viljandi Tulevik

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Viljandi Tulevik	4-3 HT 3-1	JK Tallinna Kalev II
21/03/26 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Tallinna Kalev II	1-2 HT 0-0	JK Viljandi Tulevik
23/10/23 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Tallinna Kalev II	7-2 HT 3-2	JK Viljandi Tulevik
02/09/23 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Viljandi Tulevik	1-1 HT 0-1	JK Tallinna Kalev II
25/05/23 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Tallinna Kalev II	3-0 HT 2-0	JK Viljandi Tulevik
01/04/23 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Viljandi Tulevik	2-0 HT 2-0	JK Tallinna Kalev II

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn U19	25	15	2	8	60	42	47
2	JK Tammeka Tartu II	25	14	4	7	67	48	46
3	JK Trans Narva II	24	14	3	7	60	34	45
4	Johvi FC Phoenix	25	13	3	9	56	55	42
5	FA Tartu Kalev	25	13	2	10	65	47	41
6	JK Viljandi Tulevik	25	11	5	9	63	52	38
7	Parnu JK Vaprus II	25	11	4	10	69	54	37
8	Tabasalu FC Charma	25	9	2	14	37	67	29
9	JK Tallinna Kalev II	25	5	5	15	50	62	20
10	Tallinna JK Legion	24	3	2	19	22	88	11

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JK Tallinna Kalev II	JK Viljandi Tulevik
FA Tartu Kalev	1-1 D	2-4 L
Tabasalu FC Charma	1-1 D	0-2 L
Johvi FC Phoenix	3-1 W	0-0 D
JK Trans Narva II	0-5 L	3-3 D
JK Tammeka Tartu II	4-5 L	0-0 D
FC Levadia Tallinn U19	1-4 L	1-4 L
Parnu JK Vaprus II	2-2 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 3 L	0 W 4 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: JK Tallinna Kalev II (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JK Tallinna Kalev II

DLWLLLWDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/08	FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
21/08	Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B	1-1	3-3	8	3	D
16/08	Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	1-1	6	2	D
09/08	Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	3-1	6	8	W
01/08	JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-2	0-5	–	–	L
20/07	JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B	3-1	4-5	4	6	L
12/07	FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B	1-2	1-4	5	4	L
05/07	Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B	3-0	3-2	5	4	W
22/06	JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-1	2-3	1	1	L
19/06	Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-2	2-2	4	5	D

JK Viljandi Tulevik

LDLLDDLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B	2-2	3-3	9	2	D
20/08	Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B	2-1	2-2	3	5	D
16/08	FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B	0-2	1-4	–	–	L
08/08	FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B	1-2	2-4	2	5	L
01/08	JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	0-0	5	8	D
25/07	Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
11/07	Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	0-2	7	3	L
05/07	JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	1-2	4	4	L
22/06	JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	2-2	4	4	D
19/06	FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B	2-2	2-3	6	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JK Tallinna Kalev II vs JK Viljandi Tulevik?

According to our model, the most likely result is an JK Viljandi Tulevik win (47%). Probabilities: JK Tallinna Kalev II 33%, draw 20%, JK Viljandi Tulevik 47%.

How many goals are expected in JK Tallinna Kalev II vs JK Viljandi Tulevik?

The model expects 4.46 goals (JK Tallinna Kalev II 2.04 · JK Viljandi Tulevik 2.42), with a 51% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in JK Tallinna Kalev II vs JK Viljandi Tulevik?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.