Prediction: Avai vs Nautico
Expected goals: 2.71 (Avai 1.44 · Nautico 1.27). The model gives 40% home, 28% draw, 32% away. Over 2.25 goals (53%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Avai sits at 3-1-6 (W-D-L), while Nautico arrives on a 3-3-4 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 4 wins for Avai and 1 for Nautico, with 1 draw.
Match keys
- H2H favours Avai: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Avai | Nautico | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.5 | 1.7 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 2.5 | 2.8 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.3 | 5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Avai 4–1–1 Nautico
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/11/21 Brazil Serie B | Nautico | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Avai |
| 15/08/21 Brazil Serie B | Avai | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Nautico |
| 06/11/20 Brazil Serie B | Nautico | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Avai |
| 09/08/20 Brazil Serie B | Avai | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Nautico |
| 12/11/16 Brazil Serie B | Avai | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Nautico |
| 23/07/16 Brazil Serie B | Nautico | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Avai |
Standings · Brazil Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gremio Novorizontino | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 27 | 14 | 30 |
| 2 | Criciuma | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 30 |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 28 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 28 |
| 5 | EC Juventude | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 8 | 26 |
| 6 | Sao Bernardo SP | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 12 | 25 |
| 7 | Operario PR | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 25 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 25 |
| 9 | Goias | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 24 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 23 |
| 11 | Athletic Club MG | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Nautico | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 21 |
| 13 | Atletico GO | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 21 |
| 14 | CRB | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 29 | 19 |
| 15 | Londrina | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 18 |
| 16 | Ceara | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 20 | 17 |
| 17 | Botafogo SP | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 16 |
| 18 | Avai | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 13 |
| 19 | Ponte Preta | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 31 | 8 |
| 20 | America MG | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 27 | 6 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Avai | Nautico |
|---|---|---|
| Cuiaba | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Goias | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Nautico (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Avai
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 21/06 | Cuiaba Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 16/06 | Londrina Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 11/06 | Ceara Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | Chapecoense Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 04/06 | Chapecoense Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste |
3-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 30/05 | Criciuma Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 28/05 | Volta Redonda Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 25/05 | Goias Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 21/05 | Volta Redonda Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
Nautico
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | EC Juventude Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | Goias Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 21/06 | Vila Nova Brazil Serie B |
1-4 | 3-4 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 15/06 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 10/06 | Fortaleza Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 8 | L |
| 31/05 | Sport Recife Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 23/05 | Cuiaba Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
2-1 | 6-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | America MG Brazil Serie B |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Avai vs Nautico?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Avai win (40%). Probabilities: Avai 40%, draw 28%, Nautico 32%.
How many goals are expected in Avai vs Nautico?
The model expects 2.71 goals (Avai 1.44 · Nautico 1.27), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Avai vs Nautico?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.