Prediction: Ponte Preta vs Criciuma
Expected goals: 2.33 (Ponte Preta 0.78 · Criciuma 1.55). The model gives 18% home, 28% draw, 55% away. Under 2.25 goals (51%) and not both to score (51%). Most likely score: 0-1.
On recent form, Ponte Preta is 0-1-9 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Criciuma 5-5-0 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Ponte Preta won 0 and Criciuma 2, with 4 draws.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Criciuma (rating 1387 vs 1558).
- H2H favours Criciuma: 2-4-0.
- High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ponte Preta | Criciuma | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 2.5 | 1.2 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.1 | 0.7 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.1 / 6 | 3.1 / 6.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.6 | 4.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ponte Preta 0–4–2 Criciuma
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/23 Brazil Serie B | Criciuma | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Ponte Preta |
| 22/04/23 Brazil Serie B | Ponte Preta | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Criciuma |
| 29/10/22 Brazil Serie B | Ponte Preta | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Criciuma |
| 16/07/22 Brazil Serie B | Criciuma | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Ponte Preta |
| 09/04/21 Copa do Brasil | Criciuma | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Ponte Preta |
| 04/09/19 Brazil Serie B | Criciuma | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ponte Preta |
Standings · Brazil Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 28 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 28 |
| 3 | Gremio Novorizontino | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 27 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 27 |
| 5 | Sao Bernardo SP | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 12 | 25 |
| 6 | EC Juventude | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 8 | 25 |
| 7 | Operario PR | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 25 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 25 |
| 9 | Cuiaba | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 23 |
| 10 | Athletic Club MG | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Goias | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 21 |
| 12 | Atletico GO | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 21 |
| 13 | Nautico | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 20 |
| 14 | CRB | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 19 |
| 15 | Ceara | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 18 | 17 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 16 |
| 17 | Londrina | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 15 |
| 18 | Avai | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 13 |
| 19 | Ponte Preta | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 31 | 8 |
| 20 | America MG | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 27 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ponte Preta | Criciuma |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico GO | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| EC Juventude | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Cuiaba | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| CRB | 2-4 L | 3-1 W |
| Londrina | 1-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Sao Bernardo SP | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 6 L | 3 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Criciuma (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ponte Preta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Fortaleza Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 28/06 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 23/06 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | EC Juventude Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 10/06 | Cuiaba Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 02/06 | Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 24/05 | CRB Brazil Serie B |
2-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 19/05 | Londrina Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-4 | 11 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | Sport Recife Brazil Serie B |
1-2 | 1-3 | 11 | 9 | L |
| 03/05 | Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
Criciuma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 24/06 | America MG Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 16/06 | Ceara Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 06/06 | Londrina Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Avai Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 10/05 | EC Juventude Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 02/05 | Cuiaba Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 27/04 | CRB Brazil Serie B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ponte Preta vs Criciuma?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Criciuma win (55%). Probabilities: Ponte Preta 18%, draw 28%, Criciuma 55%.
How many goals are expected in Ponte Preta vs Criciuma?
The model expects 2.33 goals (Ponte Preta 0.78 · Criciuma 1.55), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Ponte Preta vs Criciuma?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.