Football · Brazil Serie B · 11/07, 01:00

Prediction: Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP

Expected goals: 1.96 (Sport Recife 1.28 · Botafogo SP 0.68). The model gives 50% home, 32% draw, 19% away. Under 2.25 goals (57%) and not both to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-0.

Recent form leaves Sport Recife with 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; Botafogo SP has piled up 2-3-5 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Sport Recife won 4 and Botafogo SP 0, with 2 draws.

50%1
50% 32% 19%
Model analysis
Expected goals1.96Sport Recife 1.28 · Botafogo SP 0.68
Over / Under 2.25Under 2.25 · 57%
BTTSNo · 53%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Sport Recife: 4-2-0.
  • High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Sport RecifeBotafogo SP
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 10.6 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.40.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 4.72.4 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.1 / 0.25.5 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sport Recife 420 Botafogo SP

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/10/24
Brazil Serie B
Sport Recife3-1
HT 2-0
Botafogo SP
29/06/24
Brazil Serie B
Botafogo SP1-1
HT 1-0
Sport Recife
03/09/23
Brazil Serie B
Botafogo SP1-1
HT 1-1
Sport Recife
20/05/23
Brazil Serie B
Sport Recife3-0
HT 1-0
Botafogo SP
14/11/19
Brazil Serie B
Botafogo SP0-2
HT 0-1
Sport Recife
17/08/19
Brazil Serie B
Sport Recife3-0
HT 1-0
Botafogo SP

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Gremio Novorizontino 16862 271430
2 Criciuma 16862 181130
3 Vila Nova 15843 231728
4 Fortaleza 16844 201628
5 EC Juventude 16754 16826
6 Sao Bernardo SP 15744 201225
7 Operario PR 15744 191725
8 Sport Recife 16673 181225
9 Goias 16736 162124
10 Cuiaba 16583 12923
11 Athletic Club MG 15573 161522
12 Nautico 16637 211921
13 Atletico GO 16565 181921
14 CRB 16547 242919
15 Londrina 16538 242418
16 Ceara 16457 152017
17 Botafogo SP 15447 141416
18 Avai 15348 152113
19 Ponte Preta 162212 10318
20 America MG 161312 10276

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSport RecifeBotafogo SP
Athletic Club MG 1-1 D 1-2 L
Nautico 2-0 W 1-1 D
CRB 1-2 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 1 L 0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sport Recife (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sport Recife

LWWLWDDDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Criciuma
Brazil Serie B
0-1 0-1 47 L
28/06 Fortaleza
Brazil Serie B
0-1 1-2 65 L
19/06 Atletico GO
Brazil Serie B
1-0 1-1 64 D
14/06 Sao Bernardo SP
Brazil Serie B
0-0 0-0 114 D
11/06 Athletic Club MG
Brazil Serie B
0-0 1-1 82 D
31/05 Nautico
Brazil Serie B
1-0 2-0 18 W
28/05 Fortaleza
Brazil Copa Nordeste
0-1 0-2 46 L
24/05 EC Juventude
Brazil Serie B
0-0 1-0 25 W
21/05 Fortaleza
Brazil Copa Nordeste
1-0 2-1 26 W
18/05 CRB
Brazil Serie B
0-1 1-2 36 L

Botafogo SP

DDLLLDLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/07 CRB
Brazil Serie B
0-1 0-1 114 L
21/06 Ceara
Brazil Serie B
0-0 1-0 54 W
15/06 Operario PR
Brazil Serie B
0-1 2-1 27 W
09/06 Vila Nova
Brazil Serie B
0-1 0-1 95 L
02/06 Ponte Preta
Brazil Serie B
0-0 0-0 126 D
26/05 Athletic Club MG
Brazil Serie B
0-1 1-2 66 L
16/05 Goias
Brazil Serie B
0-0 0-1 57 L
11/05 Gremio Novorizontino
Brazil Serie B
0-0 0-1 16 L
02/05 Nautico
Brazil Serie B
1-0 1-1 114 D
23/04 Cuiaba
Brazil Serie B
0-0 1-1 47 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sport Recife win (50%). Probabilities: Sport Recife 50%, draw 32%, Botafogo SP 19%.

How many goals are expected in Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP?

The model expects 1.96 goals (Sport Recife 1.28 · Botafogo SP 0.68), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.