Football · Estonia Esiliiga · 08/08, 14:00

Prediction: Maardu Linnameeskond vs Viimsi JK

Team pages: Maardu Linnameeskond · Viimsi JK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.37Total

Maardu Linnameeskond1.37

Viimsi JK2

1X2

26% 22% 52%

Maardu Linnameeskond Draw Viimsi JK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Maardu Linnameeskond 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LDLWWDWLWW

Viimsi JK 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWWLDDLWWL

Head-to-head

Maardu Linnameeskond 2–2–0 Viimsi JK (4 last)

Maardu Linnameeskond1-0Viimsi JK
Viimsi JK1-1Maardu Linnameeskond
Viimsi JK1-1Maardu Linnameeskond
Maardu Linnameeskond2-1Viimsi JK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maardu Linnameeskond 1540 · Viimsi JK 1520

	Maardu Linnameeskond	Draw	Viimsi JK
Our model	25%	24%	51%
Market	26%	21%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 3.37 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Maardu Linnameeskond: 2-2-0.
High corners: 13.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Maardu Linnameeskond	Viimsi JK
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2.1	1.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.1	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5.9	4.1 / 7.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.1	5.8 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.40

X4.20

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.85

2 (-0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
06:49 +1’	3.40	4.20	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Maardu Linnameeskond 2–2–0 Viimsi JK

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
22/06/26 Estonia Esiliiga	Maardu Linnameeskond	1-0 HT 0-0	Viimsi JK
26/04/26 Estonia Esiliiga	Viimsi JK	1-1 HT 0-0	Maardu Linnameeskond
11/08/20 Estonia Cup	Viimsi JK	1-1 HT 0-0	Maardu Linnameeskond
22/07/14 Estonia Cup	Maardu Linnameeskond	2-1 HT 1-0	Viimsi JK

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tartu JK Welco	21	14	3	4	63	28	45
2	Viimsi JK	21	10	5	6	35	21	35
3	FC Flora Tallinn II	21	10	4	7	51	39	34
4	FC Elva	21	9	4	8	39	35	31
5	Maardu Linnameeskond	21	8	5	8	34	48	29
6	FC Levadia Tallinn U21	21	9	1	11	41	37	28
7	JK Tallinna Kalev	21	8	4	9	42	41	28
8	FC Tallinn	21	6	5	10	28	49	23
9	JK Nomme United II	21	6	5	10	38	49	23
10	JK Nomme Kalju II	21	5	4	12	31	55	19

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Maardu Linnameeskond	Viimsi JK
JK Nomme Kalju II	4-1 W	2-2 D
Tartu JK Welco	1-8 L	2-2 D
JK Tallinna Kalev	3-3 D	1-2 L
FC Elva	3-4 L	1-3 L
FC Tallinn	0-0 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Maardu Linnameeskond (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Maardu Linnameeskond

LDLWWDWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	4-1	6	2	W
18/07	FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	3-1	5	4	W
13/07	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	1-4	1-8	3	3	L
09/07	FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga	2-1	3-2	6	5	W
03/07	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	1-3	3-3	4	5	D
22/06	Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	1-0	3	7	W
18/06	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	2-1	15	1	W
11/06	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	3-1	3-4	4	6	L
28/05	FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	0-0	10	7	D
24/05	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	0-1	3	4	L

Viimsi JK

DWWLDDLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/08	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	1-2	7	8	L
27/07	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	3-0	7	7	W
23/07	JK Nomme United U19 Estonia Cup	0-0	4-0	–	–	W
16/07	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	0-2	1-3	11	5	L
11/07	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	2-2	2-2	23	1	D
02/07	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	1-2	2-2	6	8	D
22/06	Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	0-1	5	7	L
27/05	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	3-0	2	5	W
24/05	FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga	2-0	2-0	2	8	W
17/05	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maardu Linnameeskond vs Viimsi JK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Viimsi JK win (52%). Probabilities: Maardu Linnameeskond 26%, draw 22%, Viimsi JK 52%.

How many goals are expected in Maardu Linnameeskond vs Viimsi JK?

The model expects 3.37 goals (Maardu Linnameeskond 1.37 · Viimsi JK 2), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Maardu Linnameeskond vs Viimsi JK?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.