Prediction: Delfin SC vs Emelec
Expected goals: 1.65 (Delfin SC 0.81 · Emelec 0.84). The model gives 33% home, 34% draw, 34% away. Under 2 goals (57%) and not both to score (55%). Most likely score: 0-0.
Recent form leaves Delfin SC with 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses over 10 games; Emelec has piled up 4-3-3 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Delfin SC and 3 for Emelec, with 2 draws.
| Delfin SC | Draw | Emelec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 37% | 32% |
| Market | 34% | 31% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Emelec (rating 1463 vs 1524).
- H2H favours Emelec: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Delfin SC | Emelec | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.1 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 2.4 | 2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Delfin SC 1–2–3 Emelec
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Emelec | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Delfin SC |
| 01/12/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Delfin SC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Emelec |
| 27/10/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Emelec | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Delfin SC |
| 21/06/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Emelec | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Delfin SC |
| 22/02/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Delfin SC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Emelec |
| 25/08/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Delfin SC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Emelec |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 37 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 27 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cuenca | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 27 |
| 4 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 14 | 26 |
| 5 | Barcelona Guayaquil | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 26 |
| 6 | SD Aucas | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 26 |
| 7 | Orense | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 22 | 22 |
| 8 | Emelec | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 22 |
| 9 | Tecnico Universitario | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 20 |
| 10 | Macara | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Guayaquil City | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 19 | 19 |
| 12 | Mushuc Runa | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 21 | 18 |
| 13 | Leones FC | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 18 | 17 |
| 14 | Club Atletico Libertad | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 17 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 16 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 12 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Delfin SC | Emelec |
|---|---|---|
| Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Tecnico Universitario | 0-4 L | 1-0 W |
| SD Aucas | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| LDU Quito | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Emelec (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Delfin SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05 | Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 25/05 | Barcelona Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 13/05 | Banos Ciudad de Fuego Ecuador Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 28/04 | SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 22/04 | Independiente del Valle Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 11/04 | LDU Quito Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
Emelec
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Macara Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/05 | Daquilema FC Ecuador Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 18/05 | Manta FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Club Atletico Libertad Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 04/05 | Leones FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | LDU Quito Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 22/04 | Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Guayaquil City Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 13/04 | SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Delfin SC vs Emelec?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Emelec win (34%). Probabilities: Delfin SC 33%, draw 34%, Emelec 34%.
How many goals are expected in Delfin SC vs Emelec?
The model expects 1.65 goals (Delfin SC 0.81 · Emelec 0.84), with a 57% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Delfin SC vs Emelec?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.