Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · 16/07, 00:00
Prediction: Leones FC vs Deportivo Cuenca
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.23Total
Leones FC1.5
Deportivo Cuenca0.73
1X2
Leones FC
Draw
Deportivo Cuenca
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Leones FC
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Cuenca
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Leones FC
0–1–0
Deportivo Cuenca
(1 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leones FC (rating 1542 vs 1481).
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Leones FC | Deportivo Cuenca | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.9 | 1.5 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.3 | 4.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leones FC 0–1–0 Deportivo Cuenca
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Deportivo Cuenca | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Leones FC |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 19 | 43 |
| 2 | Barcelona Guayaquil | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 13 | 29 |
| 3 | SD Aucas | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 29 |
| 4 | LDU Quito | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 14 | 27 |
| 5 | Deportivo Cuenca | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 19 | 27 |
| 6 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Macara | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Tecnico Universitario | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 19 | 23 |
| 8 | Leones FC | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 23 |
| 10 | Orense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 24 | 23 |
| 11 | Emelec | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 17 | 23 |
| 12 | Guayaquil City | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 22 |
| 13 | Mushuc Runa | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 27 | 21 |
| 14 | Club Atletico Libertad | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 25 | 17 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 17 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 23 | 13 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leones FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 11 | W |
| 04/07 | Club Atletico Libertad Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 02/06 | Macara Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Huaquillas FC Ecuador Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 24/05 | Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 04/05 | Emelec Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | Independiente del Valle Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 22/04 | Manta FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Deportivo Cuenca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 05/07 | Barcelona Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 02/06 | CD La Union Ecuador Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 27/05 | Santos Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | LDU Quito Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 20/05 | Deportivo Recoleta Copa Sudamericana |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Club Atletico Libertad Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Guayaquil City Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | San Lorenzo Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leones FC vs Deportivo Cuenca?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Leones FC win (55%). Probabilities: Leones FC 55%, draw 29%, Deportivo Cuenca 17%.
How many goals are expected in Leones FC vs Deportivo Cuenca?
The model expects 2.23 goals (Leones FC 1.5 · Deportivo Cuenca 0.73), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Leones FC vs Deportivo Cuenca?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.