Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · 16/07, 00:00
Prediction: Universidad Catolica del Ecuador vs LDU Quito
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.98Total
Universidad Catolica del Ecuador1.48
LDU Quito1.51
1X2
Universidad Catolica del Ecuador
Draw
LDU Quito
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Universidad Catolica del Ecuador
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LDU Quito
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Universidad Catolica del Ecuador
3–2–1
LDU Quito
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours LDU Quito (rating 1459 vs 1519).
- H2H favours Universidad Catolica del Ecuador: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | LDU Quito | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.8 | 1.5 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.2 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.2 | 2.4 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.5 | 4.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Universidad Catolica del Ecuador 3–2–1 LDU Quito
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | LDU Quito | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador |
| 21/12/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | LDU Quito | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador |
| 19/12/25 Ecuador Cup | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | 3-2 HT 1-1 | LDU Quito |
| 05/10/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | 2-2 HT 0-0 | LDU Quito |
| 21/09/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | LDU Quito | 2-4 HT 1-2 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador |
| 24/05/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | 3-1 HT 0-0 | LDU Quito |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 19 | 43 |
| 2 | Barcelona Guayaquil | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 13 | 29 |
| 3 | SD Aucas | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 29 |
| 4 | LDU Quito | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 14 | 27 |
| 5 | Deportivo Cuenca | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 19 | 27 |
| 6 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Macara | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Tecnico Universitario | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 19 | 23 |
| 8 | Leones FC | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 23 |
| 10 | Orense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 24 | 23 |
| 11 | Emelec | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 17 | 23 |
| 12 | Guayaquil City | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 22 |
| 13 | Mushuc Runa | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 27 | 21 |
| 14 | Club Atletico Libertad | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 25 | 17 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 17 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 23 | 13 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | LDU Quito |
|---|---|---|
| Mushuc Runa | 2-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Orense | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: LDU Quito (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Universidad Catolica del Ecuador
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Leones FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 11 | L |
| 06/07 | Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 01/06 | Emelec Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 29/05 | El Nacional Ecuador Cup |
1-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 14/05 | Independiente del Valle Ecuador Super Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 09/05 | SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | Independiente del Valle Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-3 | 2-3 | 11 | 7 | L |
| 27/04 | Manta FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
LDU Quito
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Club Atletico Libertad Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 09/07 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 05/07 | Macara Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 02/07 | Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 27/05 | Always Ready Copa Libertadores |
1-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 21/05 | Lanus Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 15/05 | Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 13 | 8 | W |
| 12/05 | Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 08/05 | Mirassol Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Universidad Catolica del Ecuador vs LDU Quito?
According to our model, the most likely result is an LDU Quito win (37%). Probabilities: Universidad Catolica del Ecuador 36%, draw 27%, LDU Quito 37%.
How many goals are expected in Universidad Catolica del Ecuador vs LDU Quito?
The model expects 2.98 goals (Universidad Catolica del Ecuador 1.48 · LDU Quito 1.51), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Universidad Catolica del Ecuador vs LDU Quito?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.