Football · Australia NPL Queensland Women · 01/08, 11:00

Prediction: Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)

Team pages: Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) · Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.89Total

Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)2.15

Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)0.75

1X2

69% 19% 11%

Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) Draw Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) 4–2–0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) (6 last)

Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)0-3Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)
Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)0-2Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)
Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)0-0Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)
Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)5-0Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)2-3Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)
Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)1-1Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) 1532 · Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) 1489

	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)	Draw	Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
Our model	69%	20%	11%
Market	70%	18%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 2.89 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) (rating 1532 vs 1489).
H2H favours Eastern Suburbs NPL (W): 4-2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)	Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.9	1.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 6.6	1.5 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.6 / 0	1.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.28

X5.00

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.80

2 (+1.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
07:09 +3’	1.28	5.00	7.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) 4–2–0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/05/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women	Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)
31/03/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women	Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)	0-2 HT 0-0	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)
17/08/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women	Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)
14/06/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)	5-0 HT 3-0	Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
11/04/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women	Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)	2-3 HT 0-1	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)
21/07/24 Australia NPL Queensland Women	Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)

Standings · Australia NPL Queensland Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gold Coast Knights (W)	23	16	4	3	68	19	52
2	Brisbane City (W)	23	14	7	2	54	15	49
3	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)	24	15	4	5	46	20	49
4	Lions FC (W)	23	15	3	5	55	21	48
5	Brisbane Olympic FC (W)	24	9	7	8	29	30	34
6	Gold Coast United (W)	22	8	8	6	36	31	32
7	Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)	23	8	2	13	31	36	26
8	Capalaba (W)	24	7	1	16	31	56	22
9	FQ QAS Women	24	6	1	17	43	73	19
10	Souths United NPL (W)	24	0	1	23	14	106	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)	Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
FQ QAS Women	3-0 W	3-2 W
Capalaba (W)	5-0 W	2-1 W
Brisbane Olympic FC (W)	0-1 L	0-1 L
Brisbane City (W)	0-1 L	1-2 L
Gold Coast United (W)	0-0 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-0	3-0	6	2	W
19/07	Capalaba (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	3-0	5-0	4	0	W
14/07	Brisbane Olympic FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-0	0-1	9	0	L
11/07	Lions FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-0	1-3	4	2	L
05/07	Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-1	0-1	5	0	L
30/06	Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-0	0-0	7	0	D
20/06	Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-0	0-0	2	0	D
06/06	Capalaba (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-0	3-0	7	0	W
30/05	FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women	3-2	4-2	9	1	W
24/05	Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-2	1-2	13	1	L

Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	2-0	4-0	5	1	W
14/07	Capalaba (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-0	2-1	6	2	W
11/07	Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-1	1-2	2	2	L
04/07	FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women	2-1	3-2	3	2	W
30/06	Brisbane Olympic FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-1	0-1	8	1	L
27/06	Gold Coast Knights (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-0	1-1	1	2	D
24/06	Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-1	1-1	3	0	D
21/06	FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-1	1-2	4	1	L
07/06	Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	2-1	5-1	3	0	W
31/05	Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-0	0-1	3	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) win (69%). Probabilities: Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) 69%, draw 19%, Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) 11%.

How many goals are expected in Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)?

The model expects 2.89 goals (Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) 2.15 · Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) 0.75), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.