Football · Finland Ykkonen · 11/08, 17:30

Prediction: RoPS vs KUPS Akatemia

Team pages: RoPS · KUPS Akatemia

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.92Total

RoPS2.66

KUPS Akatemia1.26

1X2

67% 18% 15%

RoPS Draw KUPS Akatemia

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

RoPS 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DLWDWWDWLD

KUPS Akatemia 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LWLDLDLDDL

Head-to-head

RoPS 3–2–1 KUPS Akatemia (6 last)

KUPS Akatemia0-1RoPS
RoPS0-3KUPS Akatemia
KUPS Akatemia1-1RoPS
KUPS Akatemia1-2RoPS
RoPS1-1KUPS Akatemia
RoPS2-0KUPS Akatemia

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RoPS 1522 · KUPS Akatemia 1457

	RoPS	Draw	KUPS Akatemia
Our model	67%	18%	15%
Market	67%	18%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 3.92 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RoPS (rating 1522 vs 1457).
H2H favours RoPS: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	RoPS	KUPS Akatemia
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.6	2 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.8	0.9 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6.4	2.5 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.3	4.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.00

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.82

2 (+1.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 41.95

Under 41.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	5.00 → 5.00	Pinn 5.74 ★
2	5.75 → 5.75	Pinn 6.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4% Pinnacle margin 8.4%

Time*	1	X	2
19:02 +5’	1.33	5.00	5.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:05 +1’	1.32	5.66	6.51
19:07	1.32▼	5.74▲	6.60▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RoPS 3–2–1 KUPS Akatemia

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Finland Ykkonen	KUPS Akatemia	0-1 HT 0-0	RoPS
23/08/25 Finland Ykkonen	RoPS	0-3 HT 0-2	KUPS Akatemia
15/06/25 Finland Ykkonen	KUPS Akatemia	1-1 HT 0-0	RoPS
10/08/24 Finland Ykkonen	KUPS Akatemia	1-2 HT 1-1	RoPS
26/05/24 Finland Ykkonen	RoPS	1-1 HT 0-0	KUPS Akatemia
08/10/23 Finland Kakkonen Group C	RoPS	2-0 HT 1-0	KUPS Akatemia

Standings · Finland Ykkonen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampere Utd	18	12	3	3	41	15	39
2	RoPS	18	9	6	3	40	24	33
3	OLS	19	8	6	5	37	27	30
4	VJS Vantaa	19	7	8	4	33	24	29
5	SalPa	18	8	5	5	33	30	29
6	PK Keski-Uusimaa	18	7	6	5	33	26	27
7	JJK	18	7	4	7	41	35	25
8	FC Jazz	19	7	5	7	27	28	23
9	FC Inter II	18	5	5	8	30	44	20
10	TPV	18	5	4	9	27	36	19
11	KPV	19	3	3	13	18	58	12
12	KUPS Akatemia	18	2	5	11	29	42	11

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RoPS	KUPS Akatemia
FC Jazz	2-2 D	2-2 D
TPV	3-6 L	1-3 L
JJK	4-0 W	4-4 D
KPV	1-1 D	4-1 W
FC Inter II	2-0 W	0-1 L
PK Keski-Uusimaa	4-3 W	0-3 L
SalPa	2-2 D	3-4 L
VJS Vantaa	2-0 W	2-2 D
Tampere Utd	0-1 L	2-3 L
OLS	1-1 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	4 W 4 D 2 L	1 W 4 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: RoPS (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RoPS

DLWDWWDWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/08	FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen	1-2	2-2	6	6	D
01/08	TPV Finland Ykkonen	1-2	3-6	9	1	L
25/07	JJK Finland Ykkonen	3-0	4-0	8	4	W
20/07	KPV Finland Ykkonen	0-1	1-1	4	1	D
10/07	FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
05/07	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	2-1	4-3	4	7	W
27/06	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	1-1	2-2	12	3	D
13/06	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
06/06	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
02/06	OLS Finland Ykkonen	0-1	1-1	–	–	D

KUPS Akatemia

LWLDLDLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-1	8	8	L
30/07	FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen	2-0	2-2	3	3	D
26/07	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-2	4	5	D
18/07	TPV Finland Ykkonen	1-1	1-3	4	4	L
11/07	JJK Finland Ykkonen	2-2	4-4	6	7	D
04/07	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	0-2	2-3	6	8	L
28/06	OLS Finland Ykkonen	1-2	2-2	3	4	D
12/06	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	1-3	3-4	5	4	L
05/06	KPV Finland Ykkonen	1-1	4-1	4	4	W
29/05	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	0-2	0-3	2	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RoPS vs KUPS Akatemia?

According to our model, the most likely result is a RoPS win (67%). Probabilities: RoPS 67%, draw 18%, KUPS Akatemia 15%.

How many goals are expected in RoPS vs KUPS Akatemia?

The model expects 3.92 goals (RoPS 2.66 · KUPS Akatemia 1.26), with a 53% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in RoPS vs KUPS Akatemia?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.