Football · Finland Ykkonen · 16/08, 16:00

Prediction: VJS Vantaa vs JJK

Team pages: VJS Vantaa · JJK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.75Total

VJS Vantaa2.25

JJK1.49

1X2

54% 22% 24%

VJS Vantaa Draw JJK

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

VJS Vantaa 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LWDWLWDDDW

JJK 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLWWLDLLLD

Head-to-head

VJS Vantaa 0–1–0 JJK (1 last)

JJK2-2VJS Vantaa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · VJS Vantaa 1527 · JJK 1459

	VJS Vantaa	Draw	JJK
Our model	54%	22%	24%
Market	54%	22%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.75 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours VJS Vantaa (rating 1527 vs 1459).
High corners: 16.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	VJS Vantaa	JJK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.4	2.3 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	1.2 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.4 / 8.7	3.4 / 8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	4.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.67

X4.10

23.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.88

Under 3.51.93

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Pinn 1.77 ★
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	3.70 → 3.70	Pinn 3.72

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
18:34 +13’	1.67	4.10	3.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:30 +1’	1.77	4.10	3.72

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · VJS Vantaa 0–1–0 JJK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/06/26 Finland Ykkonen	JJK	2-2 HT 1-2	VJS Vantaa

Standings · Finland Ykkonen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampere Utd	19	12	4	3	41	15	40
2	RoPS	19	10	6	3	42	25	36
3	OLS	19	8	6	5	37	27	30
4	PK Keski-Uusimaa	19	8	6	5	34	26	30
5	SalPa	19	8	6	5	34	31	30
6	VJS Vantaa	19	7	8	4	33	24	29
7	JJK	19	7	5	7	41	35	26
8	FC Jazz	19	7	5	7	27	28	23
9	TPV	19	5	5	9	28	37	20
10	FC Inter II	19	5	5	9	30	45	20
11	KPV	19	3	3	13	18	58	12
12	KUPS Akatemia	19	2	5	12	30	44	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	VJS Vantaa	JJK
KPV	2-1 W	3-2 W
PK Keski-Uusimaa	0-0 D	1-3 L
FC Inter II	1-1 D	11-1 W
KUPS Akatemia	2-2 D	4-4 D
Tampere Utd	0-1 L	0-0 D
SalPa	2-2 D	1-2 L
TPV	2-1 W	0-1 L
RoPS	0-2 L	0-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 4 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: VJS Vantaa (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

VJS Vantaa

LWDWLWDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	KPV Finland Ykkonen	1-1	2-1	6	5	W
05/08	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
31/07	FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen	1-1	1-1	9	10	D
26/07	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	0-1	2-2	6	5	D
22/07	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	0-1	3-1	7	4	W
18/07	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-1	11	3	L
11/07	OLS Finland Ykkonen	1-1	4-3	8	3	W
04/07	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	1-2	2-2	9	5	D
29/06	TPV Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-1	9	1	W
13/06	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	0-1	0-2	18	3	L

JJK

DLWWLDLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/08	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-0	7	7	D
05/08	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	1-0	1-2	7	2	L
25/07	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	0-3	0-4	7	4	L
18/07	FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen	0-1	1-3	8	3	L
11/07	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	2-2	4-4	11	7	D
05/07	TPV Finland Ykkonen	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
25/06	FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen	6-0	11-1	10	8	W
13/06	KPV Finland Ykkonen	2-0	3-2	12	1	W
06/06	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	0-1	1-3	6	5	L
02/06	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	1-2	2-2	6	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in VJS Vantaa vs JJK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a VJS Vantaa win (54%). Probabilities: VJS Vantaa 54%, draw 22%, JJK 24%.

How many goals are expected in VJS Vantaa vs JJK?

The model expects 3.75 goals (VJS Vantaa 2.25 · JJK 1.49), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in VJS Vantaa vs JJK?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.