Football · Finland Ykkonen · 16/08, 15:00

Prediction: FC Inter II vs KPV

Team pages: FC Inter II · KPV

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.72Total

FC Inter II2.34

KPV1.38

1X2

58% 21% 21%

FC Inter II Draw KPV

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Inter II 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DDLWLLDDWL

KPV 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLWLDLWLL

Head-to-head

FC Inter II 1–2 KPV (3 last)

KPV4-2FC Inter II
KPV2-1FC Inter II
FC Inter II7-1KPV

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Inter II 1464 · KPV 1452

	FC Inter II	Draw	KPV
Our model	58%	21%	21%
Market	58%	21%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.72 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours KPV: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Inter II	KPV
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.2	1.2 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.1	0.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.2	2.4 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.3	2.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.53

X4.33

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.85

2 (+1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.80

Under 3.752.00

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Pinn 1.55
X	4.33 → 4.33	Pinn 4.56
2	4.20 → 4.20	Pinn 4.63 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
15:36 +9’	1.53	4.33	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:29	1.55	4.56	4.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Inter II 1–0–2 KPV

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/05/26 Finland Ykkonen	KPV	4-2 HT 1-1	FC Inter II
30/08/25 Finland Ykkonen	KPV	2-1 HT 0-0	FC Inter II
28/06/25 Finland Ykkonen	FC Inter II	7-1 HT 5-1	KPV

Standings · Finland Ykkonen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampere Utd	19	12	4	3	41	15	40
2	RoPS	19	10	6	3	42	25	36
3	OLS	19	8	6	5	37	27	30
4	PK Keski-Uusimaa	19	8	6	5	34	26	30
5	SalPa	19	8	6	5	34	31	30
6	VJS Vantaa	19	7	8	4	33	24	29
7	JJK	19	7	5	7	41	35	26
8	FC Jazz	19	7	5	7	27	28	23
9	TPV	19	5	5	9	28	37	20
10	FC Inter II	19	5	5	9	30	45	20
11	KPV	19	3	3	13	18	58	12
12	KUPS Akatemia	19	2	5	12	30	44	11

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Inter II	KPV
PK Keski-Uusimaa	0-1 L	1-3 L
KUPS Akatemia	1-0 W	1-4 L
VJS Vantaa	1-1 D	1-2 L
Tampere Utd	2-2 D	0-6 L
SalPa	1-2 L	3-0 W
RoPS	0-2 L	1-1 D
OLS	3-1 W	1-2 L
JJK	1-11 L	2-3 L
FC Jazz	1-1 D	1-0 W
TPV	1-1 D	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 4 D 4 L	2 W 1 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: FC Inter II (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Inter II

DDLWLLDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/08	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
07/08	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-0	4	8	W
31/07	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	1-1	1-1	8	10	D
24/07	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	0-2	2-2	7	1	D
18/07	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	1-1	1-2	6	3	L
10/07	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
04/07	OLS Finland Ykkonen	1-0	3-1	4	5	W
25/06	JJK Finland Ykkonen	0-6	1-11	0	8	L
12/06	FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
06/06	TPV Finland Ykkonen	1-0	1-1	4	5	D

KPV

LLLWLDLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	1-1	1-2	9	5	L
05/08	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	0-3	0-6	8	2	L
01/08	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	2-0	3-0	4	2	W
26/07	OLS Finland Ykkonen	0-1	1-2	5	6	L
20/07	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	1-0	1-1	7	1	D
11/07	TPV Finland Ykkonen	0-2	1-3	5	3	L
02/07	FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
28/06	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-3	2	5	L
13/06	JJK Finland Ykkonen	0-2	2-3	4	1	L
05/06	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	1-1	1-4	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Inter II vs KPV?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Inter II win (58%). Probabilities: FC Inter II 58%, draw 21%, KPV 21%.

How many goals are expected in FC Inter II vs KPV?

The model expects 3.72 goals (FC Inter II 2.34 · KPV 1.38), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Inter II vs KPV?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.