Prediction: SC Grobinas vs Tukums 2000
Expected goals: 2.55 (SC Grobinas 1.33 · Tukums 2000 1.23). The model gives 38% home, 28% draw, 34% away. Under 2.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, SC Grobinas is 1-4-5 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Tukums 2000 1-3-6 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, SC Grobinas won 2 and Tukums 2000 2, with 2 draws.
| SC Grobinas | Draw | Tukums 2000 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 29% | 33% |
| Market | 39% | 27% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SC Grobinas | Tukums 2000 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.4 | 1.3 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.1 | 1.6 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SC Grobinas 2–2–2 Tukums 2000
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/26 Latvia Virsliga | SC Grobinas | 3-3 HT 2-2 | Tukums 2000 |
| 05/04/26 Latvia Virsliga | Tukums 2000 | 1-1 HT 1-1 | SC Grobinas |
| 04/10/25 Latvia Virsliga | SC Grobinas | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Tukums 2000 |
| 21/07/25 Latvia Virsliga | Tukums 2000 | 2-1 HT 1-0 | SC Grobinas |
| 21/05/25 Latvia Virsliga | SC Grobinas | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Tukums 2000 |
| 05/04/25 Latvia Virsliga | Tukums 2000 | 2-0 HT 2-0 | SC Grobinas |
Standings · Latvia Virsliga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFS | 21 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 53 | 15 | 55 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 21 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 62 | 19 | 52 |
| 3 | FK Auda | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 36 | 25 | 39 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 31 | 28 |
| 5 | FK Jelgava | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 35 | 25 |
| 6 | SK Super Nova | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 33 | 24 |
| 7 | BFC Daugavpils | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 28 | 24 |
| 8 | Tukums 2000 | 21 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 41 | 17 |
| 9 | SC Grobinas | 21 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 32 | 17 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 21 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 54 | 10 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SC Grobinas | Tukums 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| FK Jelgava | 0-2 L | 1-4 L |
| FK Auda | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| BFC Daugavpils | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| FK Liepaja | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| RFS | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Riga FC | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Ogre United | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| SK Super Nova | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 5 L | 1 W 1 D 6 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SC Grobinas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | FK Jelgava Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/06 | FK Auda Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | BFC Daugavpils Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 16/06 | FK Liepaja Latvia Virsliga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 13/06 | RFS Latvia Virsliga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 29/05 | Riga FC Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 25/05 | Ogre United Latvia Virsliga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 9 | D |
| 20/05 | SK Super Nova Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 15/05 | Tukums 2000 Latvia Virsliga |
2-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 11/05 | FK Jelgava Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
Tukums 2000
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | SK Super Nova Latvia Virsliga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 26/06 | Ogre United Latvia Virsliga |
2-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | FK Jelgava Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 17/06 | FK Auda Latvia Virsliga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 12/06 | BFC Daugavpils Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 30/05 | FK Liepaja Latvia Virsliga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 25/05 | RFS Latvia Virsliga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 20/05 | Riga FC Latvia Virsliga |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 15/05 | SC Grobinas Latvia Virsliga |
2-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 11/05 | SK Super Nova Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SC Grobinas vs Tukums 2000?
According to our model, the most likely result is a SC Grobinas win (38%). Probabilities: SC Grobinas 38%, draw 28%, Tukums 2000 34%.
How many goals are expected in SC Grobinas vs Tukums 2000?
The model expects 2.55 goals (SC Grobinas 1.33 · Tukums 2000 1.23), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in SC Grobinas vs Tukums 2000?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.