Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 22/08, 16:00

Prediction: Atvidabergs FF vs Angelholm

Team pages: Atvidabergs FF · Angelholm

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.36Total

Atvidabergs FF2.04

Angelholm1.33

1X2

53% 24% 24%

Atvidabergs FF Draw Angelholm

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Atvidabergs FF 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWDDWWDLWW

Angelholm 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWDWLWDDLL

Head-to-head

Atvidabergs FF 1–2–3 Angelholm (6 last)

Angelholm2-2Atvidabergs FF
Atvidabergs FF0-2Angelholm
Angelholm1-0Atvidabergs FF
Angelholm1-2Atvidabergs FF
Atvidabergs FF0-1Angelholm
Atvidabergs FF2-2Angelholm

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atvidabergs FF 1560 · Angelholm 1479

	Atvidabergs FF	Draw	Angelholm
Our model	53%	23%	24%
Market	53%	24%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atvidabergs FF (rating 1560 vs 1479).
H2H favours Angelholm: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atvidabergs FF	Angelholm
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.5	1.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/0/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.8 / 7.4	1.2 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.1	2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.75

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
21:52 +5’	1.70	3.75	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Atvidabergs FF 1–2–3 Angelholm

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/05/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	Angelholm	2-2 HT 0-0	Atvidabergs FF
04/11/23 Sweden 1.div Södra	Atvidabergs FF	0-2 HT 0-0	Angelholm
11/06/23 Sweden 1.div Södra	Angelholm	1-0 HT 1-0	Atvidabergs FF
01/10/22 Sweden 1.div Södra	Angelholm	1-2 HT 0-1	Atvidabergs FF
09/04/22 Sweden 1.div Södra	Atvidabergs FF	0-1 HT 0-1	Angelholm
20/10/18 Sweden 1.div Södra	Atvidabergs FF	2-2 HT 1-1	Angelholm

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	17	10	6	1	38	18	36
2	Atvidabergs FF	17	9	5	3	34	22	32
3	Hässleholms IF	17	9	3	5	34	22	30
4	Ariana FC Malmo	17	8	5	4	33	22	29
5	Lunds BK	17	7	7	3	29	22	28
6	FC Rosengård 1917	17	7	6	4	28	22	27
7	Tvååkers IF	17	7	4	6	22	24	25
8	Eskilsminne IF	17	7	3	7	28	29	24
9	BK Olympic	17	7	2	8	27	29	23
10	Jonkopings Sodra	17	6	4	7	24	19	22
11	FC Trollhättan	17	4	7	6	20	27	19
12	Angelholm	17	3	8	6	24	26	17
13	Laholms FK	17	5	2	10	22	30	17
14	Kristianstad FC	17	4	5	8	18	26	17
15	Skövde AIK	17	3	8	6	14	26	17
16	Utsiktens BK	17	1	3	13	13	44	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atvidabergs FF	Angelholm
Tvååkers IF	2-1 W	2-3 L
FC Rosengård 1917	3-3 D	2-1 W
Utsiktens BK	3-0 W	4-2 W
FC Trollhättan	3-3 D	0-1 L
BK Olympic	3-2 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Atvidabergs FF (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Atvidabergs FF

WWDDWWDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-1	8	2	W
08/08	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-1	13	5	W
01/08	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-2	16	3	L
27/06	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	3-2	3-3	4	3	D
17/06	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	3-0	6	0	W
13/06	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	3-0	4-0	2	3	W
07/06	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-2	10	4	D
30/05	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	1-2	3-3	5	2	D
24/05	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	3-1	8	2	W
17/05	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	3-2	2	5	W

Angelholm

LWDWLWDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	0	4	L
07/08	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-1	4	1	L
01/08	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	2-2	0	4	D
27/06	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
23/06	BK Astrio Sweden Cup	0-0	3-0	5	2	W
18/06	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-2	2-3	7	0	L
13/06	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	4-2	8	2	W
08/06	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
02/06	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-1	3	1	W
24/05	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-3	3	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atvidabergs FF vs Angelholm?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atvidabergs FF win (53%). Probabilities: Atvidabergs FF 53%, draw 24%, Angelholm 24%.

How many goals are expected in Atvidabergs FF vs Angelholm?

The model expects 3.36 goals (Atvidabergs FF 2.04 · Angelholm 1.33), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Atvidabergs FF vs Angelholm?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.