Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 22/08, 16:00

Prediction: Jonkopings Sodra vs FC Rosengård 1917

Team pages: Jonkopings Sodra · FC Rosengård 1917

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.69Total

Jonkopings Sodra1.45

FC Rosengård 19171.25

1X2

41% 27% 32%

Jonkopings Sodra Draw FC Rosengård 1917

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Jonkopings Sodra 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLDLLLWD

FC Rosengård 1917 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLDWDD

Head-to-head

Jonkopings Sodra 3–2 FC Rosengård 1917 (5 last)

FC Rosengård 19174-2Jonkopings Sodra
FC Rosengård 19170-1Jonkopings Sodra
Jonkopings Sodra3-0FC Rosengård 1917
FC Rosengård 19170-2Jonkopings Sodra
Jonkopings Sodra1-3FC Rosengård 1917

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jonkopings Sodra 1489 · FC Rosengård 1917 1532

	Jonkopings Sodra	Draw	FC Rosengård 1917
Our model	40%	28%	31%
Market	42%	26%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Rosengård 1917 (rating 1489 vs 1532).
H2H favours Jonkopings Sodra: 3-0-2.
High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Jonkopings Sodra	FC Rosengård 1917
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1	2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	1.1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 6.5	3 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	2.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.50

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
21:51 +6’	2.15	3.50	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Jonkopings Sodra 3–0–2 FC Rosengård 1917

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/08/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	FC Rosengård 1917	4-2 HT 3-1	Jonkopings Sodra
02/08/25 Sweden 1.div Södra	FC Rosengård 1917	0-1 HT 0-1	Jonkopings Sodra
17/05/25 Sweden 1.div Södra	Jonkopings Sodra	3-0 HT 2-0	FC Rosengård 1917
13/10/24 Sweden 1.div Södra	FC Rosengård 1917	0-2 HT 0-1	Jonkopings Sodra
27/04/24 Sweden 1.div Södra	Jonkopings Sodra	1-3 HT 1-1	FC Rosengård 1917

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	17	10	6	1	38	18	36
2	Atvidabergs FF	17	9	5	3	34	22	32
3	Hässleholms IF	17	9	3	5	34	22	30
4	Ariana FC Malmo	17	8	5	4	33	22	29
5	Lunds BK	17	7	7	3	29	22	28
6	FC Rosengård 1917	17	7	6	4	28	22	27
7	Tvååkers IF	17	7	4	6	22	24	25
8	Eskilsminne IF	17	7	3	7	28	29	24
9	BK Olympic	17	7	2	8	27	29	23
10	Jonkopings Sodra	17	6	4	7	24	19	22
11	FC Trollhättan	17	4	7	6	20	27	19
12	Angelholm	17	3	8	6	24	26	17
13	Laholms FK	17	5	2	10	22	30	17
14	Kristianstad FC	17	4	5	8	18	26	17
15	Skövde AIK	17	3	8	6	14	26	17
16	Utsiktens BK	17	1	3	13	13	44	6

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Jonkopings Sodra	FC Rosengård 1917
Laholms FK	0-0 D	3-1 W
BK Olympic	2-0 W	2-1 W
Skövde AIK	0-1 L	3-0 W
Angelholm	3-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Jonkopings Sodra

WLWLDLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
09/08	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
02/08	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	1-3	2-4	0	3	L
27/07	IFK Skövde FK Sweden Cup Qualification	0-1	0-1	14	6	L
27/06	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-1	10	3	L
18/06	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
13/06	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-2	1-2	8	3	L
06/06	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	4-1	6	2	W
01/06	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	7	1	L
24/05	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	3-0	8	3	W

FC Rosengård 1917

WWLWWLDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-1	4	0	D
08/08	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	9	2	D
02/08	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	3-1	4-2	6	3	W
27/06	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	2-3	3-3	6	3	D
18/06	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	2-2	2-3	4	4	L
14/06	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	3-0	5	3	W
08/06	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-0	10	5	W
02/06	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-2	5	1	L
23/05	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-1	8	3	W
18/05	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	3-1	5	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jonkopings Sodra vs FC Rosengård 1917?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Jonkopings Sodra win (41%). Probabilities: Jonkopings Sodra 41%, draw 27%, FC Rosengård 1917 32%.

How many goals are expected in Jonkopings Sodra vs FC Rosengård 1917?

The model expects 2.69 goals (Jonkopings Sodra 1.45 · FC Rosengård 1917 1.25), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Jonkopings Sodra vs FC Rosengård 1917?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.