Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 12/09, 16:00

Prediction: Angelholm vs Skövde AIK

Team pages: Angelholm · Skövde AIK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.81Total

Angelholm1.55

Skövde AIK1.26

1X2

43% 26% 30%

Angelholm Draw Skövde AIK

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Angelholm 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DWLDDLLLLL

Skövde AIK 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLDLLDLWDW

Head-to-head

Angelholm 2–2–2 Skövde AIK (6 last)

Skövde AIK1-1Angelholm
Skövde AIK0-0Angelholm
Angelholm1-2Skövde AIK
Angelholm1-3Skövde AIK
Skövde AIK0-2Angelholm
Angelholm2-1Skövde AIK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Angelholm 1427 · Skövde AIK 1455

	Angelholm	Draw	Skövde AIK
Our model	43%	27%	30%
Market	44%	26%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Angelholm	Skövde AIK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.1	1.2 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.3 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.9 / 3.8	2.7 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.7 / 0.1	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.50

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
13:29 +36’	2.05	3.50	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Angelholm 2–2–2 Skövde AIK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	Skövde AIK	1-1 HT 1-1	Angelholm
27/09/25 Sweden 1.div Södra	Skövde AIK	0-0 HT 0-0	Angelholm
24/05/25 Sweden 1.div Södra	Angelholm	1-2 HT 0-1	Skövde AIK
23/09/18 Sweden 1.div Södra	Angelholm	1-3 HT 0-2	Skövde AIK
07/04/18 Sweden 1.div Södra	Skövde AIK	0-2 HT 0-2	Angelholm
02/09/17 Sweden 1.div Södra	Angelholm	2-1 HT 1-0	Skövde AIK

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	20	11	6	3	42	23	39
2	Hässleholms IF	20	12	3	5	40	24	39
3	Atvidabergs FF	20	10	6	4	42	30	36
4	Lunds BK	20	9	8	3	42	26	35
5	FC Rosengård 1917	20	9	7	4	35	26	34
6	Tvååkers IF	20	9	5	6	28	28	32
7	Ariana FC Malmo	20	8	7	5	39	31	31
8	Jonkopings Sodra	20	7	5	8	25	20	26
9	BK Olympic	20	8	2	10	36	40	26
10	Eskilsminne IF	20	7	4	9	32	37	25
11	FC Trollhättan	20	6	7	7	28	33	25
12	Skövde AIK	20	5	9	6	20	29	24
13	Kristianstad FC	20	5	5	10	25	33	20
14	Laholms FK	20	5	3	12	27	38	18
15	Angelholm	20	3	8	9	25	36	17
16	Utsiktens BK	20	1	5	14	17	49	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Angelholm	Skövde AIK
BK Olympic	0-5 L	1-3 L
Atvidabergs FF	1-4 L	1-2 L
Kristianstad FC	0-1 L	3-1 W
Tvååkers IF	2-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Skövde AIK (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Angelholm

DWLDDLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-5	6	1	L
29/08	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	1	0	L
22/08	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-2	1-4	7	2	L
15/08	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	0	4	L
07/08	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-1	4	1	L
01/08	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	2-2	0	4	D
27/06	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
18/06	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-2	2-3	7	0	L
13/06	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	4-2	8	2	W
08/06	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-1	3	2	D

Skövde AIK

LLDLLDLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-1	6	1	W
29/08	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	1-1	10	1	D
23/08	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	3-1	7	3	W
16/08	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
08/08	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
01/08	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	0-3	1-3	7	3	L
27/06	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-2	1-2	3	4	L
18/06	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-2	4	2	D
14/06	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-3	4	3	L
07/06	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-4	3	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Angelholm vs Skövde AIK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Angelholm win (43%). Probabilities: Angelholm 43%, draw 26%, Skövde AIK 30%.

How many goals are expected in Angelholm vs Skövde AIK?

The model expects 2.81 goals (Angelholm 1.55 · Skövde AIK 1.26), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Angelholm vs Skövde AIK?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.