Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 20/09, 16:00

Prediction: Hässleholms IF vs FC Trollhättan

Team pages: Hässleholms IF · FC Trollhättan

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

Hässleholms IF1.81

FC Trollhättan1.34

1X2

48% 25% 27%

Hässleholms IF Draw FC Trollhättan

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Hässleholms IF 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWWWLW

FC Trollhättan 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Hässleholms IF 2–1 FC Trollhättan (3 last)

FC Trollhättan3-4Hässleholms IF
FC Trollhättan0-4Hässleholms IF
Hässleholms IF0-2FC Trollhättan

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hässleholms IF 1583 · FC Trollhättan 1535

	Hässleholms IF	Draw	FC Trollhättan
Our model	48%	25%	27%
Market	48%	25%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hässleholms IF (rating 1583 vs 1535).
H2H favours Hässleholms IF: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hässleholms IF	FC Trollhättan
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 0.8	1.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.2	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	80/10/10%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.5	2.4 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.2	3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.60

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.90▲	Pinn 1.95
X	3.75 → 3.60▼	Pinn 3.79 ★
2	3.75 → 3.30▼	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.7% Pinnacle margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
15:05 +56’	1.73	3.75	3.75
20:49 +5’	1.90▲	3.60▼	3.30▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:09 +105’	1.95	3.79	2.93

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hässleholms IF 2–0–1 FC Trollhättan

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	FC Trollhättan	3-4 HT 1-2	Hässleholms IF
31/08/25 Sweden 1.div Södra	FC Trollhättan	0-4 HT 0-1	Hässleholms IF
18/04/25 Sweden 1.div Södra	Hässleholms IF	0-2 HT 0-1	FC Trollhättan

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	22	13	6	3	48	27	45
2	Hässleholms IF	22	13	3	6	43	26	42
3	Lunds BK	22	11	8	3	46	26	41
4	Atvidabergs FF	22	11	6	5	45	33	39
5	FC Rosengård 1917	22	9	7	6	38	32	34
6	Tvååkers IF	22	9	6	7	30	32	33
7	Ariana FC Malmo	22	8	8	6	39	33	32
8	FC Trollhättan	22	8	7	7	36	34	31
9	Jonkopings Sodra	22	8	6	8	26	20	30
10	BK Olympic	22	9	2	11	39	43	29
11	Eskilsminne IF	22	8	4	10	36	40	28
12	Skövde AIK	22	6	9	7	24	32	27
13	Laholms FK	22	6	4	12	28	38	22
14	Kristianstad FC	22	5	6	11	25	34	21
15	Angelholm	22	3	8	11	25	41	17
16	Utsiktens BK	22	1	6	15	17	54	9

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hässleholms IF	FC Trollhättan
Trelleborgs FF	1-2 L	2-1 W
Eskilsminne IF	2-0 W	4-2 W
Laholms FK	2-1 W	0-1 L
Utsiktens BK	2-0 W	5-0 W
Skövde AIK	2-2 D	3-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Trollhättan (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hässleholms IF

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/09	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-0	6	2	W
12/09	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-2	8	7	L
05/09	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-1	6	3	W
29/08	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
24/08	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-1	0	5	W
14/08	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	3-0	2	4	W
08/08	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	1	4	W
01/08	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
26/06	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	3-1	4-2	4	1	W
18/06	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-2	2	2	D

FC Trollhättan

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/09	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	3-1	4	3	W
11/09	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	3-0	5-0	1	4	W
05/09	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	4-1	4-2	9	2	W
29/08	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	2-3	13	5	L
22/08	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	2-1	4	3	W
15/08	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
08/08	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
01/08	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
27/06	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
18/06	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-2	8	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hässleholms IF vs FC Trollhättan?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hässleholms IF win (48%). Probabilities: Hässleholms IF 48%, draw 25%, FC Trollhättan 27%.

How many goals are expected in Hässleholms IF vs FC Trollhättan?

The model expects 3.16 goals (Hässleholms IF 1.81 · FC Trollhättan 1.34), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Hässleholms IF vs FC Trollhättan?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.