Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 21/09, 19:00

Prediction: Angelholm vs Eskilsminne IF

Team pages: Angelholm · Eskilsminne IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.29Total

Angelholm1.72

Eskilsminne IF1.57

1X2

41% 25% 34%

Angelholm Draw Eskilsminne IF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Angelholm 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

LDDLLLLLLL

Eskilsminne IF 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLWDWDLLLW

Head-to-head

Angelholm 2–3–1 Eskilsminne IF (6 last)

Eskilsminne IF0-6Angelholm
Angelholm2-2Eskilsminne IF
Eskilsminne IF1-6Angelholm
Eskilsminne IF5-2Angelholm
Angelholm2-2Eskilsminne IF
Angelholm1-1Eskilsminne IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Angelholm 1394 · Eskilsminne IF 1485

	Angelholm	Draw	Eskilsminne IF
Our model	41%	25%	34%
Market	41%	25%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eskilsminne IF (rating 1394 vs 1485).
H2H favours Angelholm: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Angelholm	Eskilsminne IF
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 2.3	1.7 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.9	0.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/40/60%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.1	1.6 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.5 / 0.1	4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.60

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:50 +21’	2.20	3.60	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Angelholm 2–3–1 Eskilsminne IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	Eskilsminne IF	0-6 HT 0-2	Angelholm
26/10/25 Sweden 1.div Södra	Angelholm	2-2 HT 0-2	Eskilsminne IF
06/06/25 Sweden 1.div Södra	Eskilsminne IF	1-6 HT 0-3	Angelholm
10/11/24 Sweden 1.div Södra	Eskilsminne IF	5-2 HT 3-1	Angelholm
29/06/24 Sweden 1.div Södra	Angelholm	2-2 HT 1-0	Eskilsminne IF
10/08/23 Sweden 1.div Södra	Angelholm	1-1 HT 0-0	Eskilsminne IF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	22	13	6	3	48	27	45
2	Hässleholms IF	22	13	3	6	43	26	42
3	Atvidabergs FF	23	12	6	5	46	33	42
4	Lunds BK	23	11	8	4	46	27	41
5	Ariana FC Malmo	23	9	8	6	42	34	35
6	FC Rosengård 1917	22	9	7	6	38	32	34
7	Tvååkers IF	22	9	6	7	30	32	33
8	FC Trollhättan	22	8	7	7	36	34	31
9	Jonkopings Sodra	22	8	6	8	26	20	30
10	BK Olympic	22	9	2	11	39	43	29
11	Eskilsminne IF	22	8	4	10	36	40	28
12	Skövde AIK	22	6	9	7	24	32	27
13	Laholms FK	22	6	4	12	28	38	22
14	Kristianstad FC	22	5	6	11	25	34	21
15	Angelholm	22	3	8	11	25	41	17
16	Utsiktens BK	23	1	6	16	18	57	9

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Angelholm	Eskilsminne IF
BK Olympic	0-5 L	1-2 L
FC Trollhättan	0-1 L	2-4 L
Kristianstad FC	0-1 L	3-2 W
Tvååkers IF	2-3 L	4-2 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Eskilsminne IF (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Angelholm

LDDLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/09	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-2	3	1	L
12/09	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-2	0-3	11	1	L
05/09	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-5	6	1	L
29/08	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	1	0	L
22/08	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-2	1-4	7	2	L
15/08	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	0	4	L
07/08	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-1	4	1	L
01/08	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	2-2	0	4	D
27/06	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
18/06	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-2	2-3	7	0	L

Eskilsminne IF

WLWDWDLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/09	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	4-1	4-2	4	6	W
12/09	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	7	7	L
05/09	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	1-4	2-4	1	2	L
29/08	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-2	7	3	L
22/08	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	2-2	2	5	D
16/08	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	3-1	5	5	W
08/08	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
01/07	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	3-2	5	5	W
28/06	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
18/06	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	6	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Angelholm vs Eskilsminne IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Angelholm win (41%). Probabilities: Angelholm 41%, draw 25%, Eskilsminne IF 34%.

How many goals are expected in Angelholm vs Eskilsminne IF?

The model expects 3.29 goals (Angelholm 1.72 · Eskilsminne IF 1.57), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Angelholm vs Eskilsminne IF?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.