Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 21/09, 19:00

Prediction: Jonkopings Sodra vs Skövde AIK

Team pages: Jonkopings Sodra · Skövde AIK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.11Total

Jonkopings Sodra1.53

Skövde AIK0.58

1X2

61% 25% 14%

Jonkopings Sodra Draw Skövde AIK

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

1-0 17%

Recent form · 10 last

Jonkopings Sodra 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLLWDDWLDW

Skövde AIK 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLLDLWDWWL

Head-to-head

Jonkopings Sodra 1–3–2 Skövde AIK (6 last)

Skövde AIK1-0Jonkopings Sodra
Jonkopings Sodra1-0Skövde AIK
Skövde AIK1-0Jonkopings Sodra
Jonkopings Sodra2-2Skövde AIK
Skövde AIK3-3Jonkopings Sodra
Skövde AIK1-1Jonkopings Sodra

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jonkopings Sodra 1494 · Skövde AIK 1478

	Jonkopings Sodra	Draw	Skövde AIK
Our model	59%	28%	13%
Market	62%	23%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 2.11 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Skövde AIK: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Jonkopings Sodra	Skövde AIK
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 0.6	1.6 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	0.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.7	2.6 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.1	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.44

X3.90

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.80

2 (+1)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.44▼	Pinn 1.57 ★
X	3.70 → 3.90▲	Bet365 3.90
2	4.75 → 5.75▲	Bet365 5.75

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.3% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:21 +12’	1.57	3.70	4.75
16:08 +5’	1.44▼	3.90▲	5.75▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:24 +48’	1.57	3.90	5.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Jonkopings Sodra 1–3–2 Skövde AIK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/06/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	Skövde AIK	1-0 HT 0-0	Jonkopings Sodra
06/10/25 Sweden 1.div Södra	Jonkopings Sodra	1-0 HT 0-0	Skövde AIK
03/05/25 Sweden 1.div Södra	Skövde AIK	1-0 HT 0-0	Jonkopings Sodra
23/10/23 Sweden Superettan	Jonkopings Sodra	2-2 HT 1-1	Skövde AIK
09/04/23 Sweden Superettan	Skövde AIK	3-3 HT 2-3	Jonkopings Sodra
28/08/22 Sweden Superettan	Skövde AIK	1-1 HT 1-1	Jonkopings Sodra

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	22	13	6	3	48	27	45
2	Hässleholms IF	22	13	3	6	43	26	42
3	Atvidabergs FF	23	12	6	5	46	33	42
4	Lunds BK	23	11	8	4	46	27	41
5	Ariana FC Malmo	23	9	8	6	42	34	35
6	FC Rosengård 1917	22	9	7	6	38	32	34
7	Tvååkers IF	22	9	6	7	30	32	33
8	FC Trollhättan	22	8	7	7	36	34	31
9	Jonkopings Sodra	22	8	6	8	26	20	30
10	BK Olympic	22	9	2	11	39	43	29
11	Eskilsminne IF	22	8	4	10	36	40	28
12	Skövde AIK	22	6	9	7	24	32	27
13	Laholms FK	22	6	4	12	28	38	22
14	Kristianstad FC	22	5	6	11	25	34	21
15	Angelholm	22	3	8	11	25	41	17
16	Utsiktens BK	23	1	6	16	18	57	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Jonkopings Sodra	Skövde AIK
Atvidabergs FF	1-0 W	1-2 L
Kristianstad FC	0-0 D	3-1 W
Tvååkers IF	0-1 L	1-1 D
Angelholm	1-0 W	3-0 W
BK Olympic	2-0 W	1-3 L
Lunds BK	0-0 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Skövde AIK (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jonkopings Sodra

DLLWDDWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/09	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
13/09	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
06/09	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-1	8	5	L
29/08	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-0	6	0	W
22/08	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
15/08	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
09/08	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
02/08	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	1-3	2-4	0	3	L
27/06	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-1	10	3	L
18/06	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	5	2	D

Skövde AIK

DLLDLWDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/09	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	1-2	1-3	3	3	L
12/09	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	3-0	3	1	W
06/09	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-1	6	1	W
29/08	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	1-1	10	1	D
23/08	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	3-1	7	3	W
16/08	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
08/08	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
01/08	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	0-3	1-3	7	3	L
27/06	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-2	1-2	3	4	L
18/06	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-2	4	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jonkopings Sodra vs Skövde AIK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Jonkopings Sodra win (61%). Probabilities: Jonkopings Sodra 61%, draw 25%, Skövde AIK 14%.

How many goals are expected in Jonkopings Sodra vs Skövde AIK?

The model expects 2.11 goals (Jonkopings Sodra 1.53 · Skövde AIK 0.58), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Jonkopings Sodra vs Skövde AIK?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.