Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 20/09, 13:00

Prediction: Tvååkers IF vs Trelleborgs FF

Team pages: Tvååkers IF · Trelleborgs FF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.59Total

Tvååkers IF1.41

Trelleborgs FF2.19

1X2

23% 23% 54%

Tvååkers IF Draw Trelleborgs FF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Tvååkers IF 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLDLWWDWDL

Trelleborgs FF 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDDWLLWLWW

Head-to-head

Tvååkers IF 1–2 Trelleborgs FF (3 last)

Trelleborgs FF4-1Tvååkers IF
Tvååkers IF1-3Trelleborgs FF
Tvååkers IF2-0Trelleborgs FF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tvååkers IF 1500 · Trelleborgs FF 1531

	Tvååkers IF	Draw	Trelleborgs FF
Our model	23%	22%	54%
Market	23%	23%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 3.59 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Trelleborgs FF: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tvååkers IF	Trelleborgs FF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.9	1.8 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.1	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 3	3.1 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.2	3.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.90

X3.90

21.67

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 4.02 ★
X	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 3.97
2	1.67 → 1.67	Pinn 1.69

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:16 +7’	3.90	3.90	1.67

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:19 +124’	4.02	3.97	1.69

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tvååkers IF 1–0–2 Trelleborgs FF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	Trelleborgs FF	4-1 HT 1-1	Tvååkers IF
20/08/24 Sweden Cup	Tvååkers IF	1-3 HT 0-2	Trelleborgs FF
21/08/19 Sweden Cup Qualification	Tvååkers IF	2-0 HT 1-0	Trelleborgs FF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	22	13	6	3	48	27	45
2	Hässleholms IF	22	13	3	6	43	26	42
3	Lunds BK	22	11	8	3	46	26	41
4	Atvidabergs FF	22	11	6	5	45	33	39
5	FC Rosengård 1917	22	9	7	6	38	32	34
6	Tvååkers IF	22	9	6	7	30	32	33
7	Ariana FC Malmo	22	8	8	6	39	33	32
8	FC Trollhättan	22	8	7	7	36	34	31
9	Jonkopings Sodra	22	8	6	8	26	20	30
10	BK Olympic	22	9	2	11	39	43	29
11	Eskilsminne IF	22	8	4	10	36	40	28
12	Skövde AIK	22	6	9	7	24	32	27
13	Laholms FK	22	6	4	12	28	38	22
14	Kristianstad FC	22	5	6	11	25	34	21
15	Angelholm	22	3	8	11	25	41	17
16	Utsiktens BK	22	1	6	15	17	54	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tvååkers IF	Trelleborgs FF
Eskilsminne IF	2-4 L	1-3 L
Ariana FC Malmo	0-0 D	2-1 W
Skövde AIK	1-1 D	1-2 L
Kristianstad FC	2-1 W	0-0 D
Utsiktens BK	2-2 D	2-1 W
Hässleholms IF	2-4 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Trelleborgs FF (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tvååkers IF

WLDLWWDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/09	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-4	2-4	3	6	L
12/09	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
06/09	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
29/08	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	1-1	1	1	D
22/08	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	4-3	2	2	W
15/08	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-1	6	2	W
08/08	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-2	2	5	L
01/08	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-2	5	2	D
26/06	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-3	2-4	4	1	L
18/06	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	3-2	3	0	W

Trelleborgs FF

WDDWLLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/09	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	3-1	4-3	3	4	W
12/09	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	2-1	4	7	W
06/09	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-2	11	1	L
30/08	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-1	5	0	W
22/08	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-2	8	3	L
16/08	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-2	1-3	5	5	L
08/08	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-1	8	2	W
02/08	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-2	3	4	D
26/06	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
18/06	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	2-2	3-2	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tvååkers IF vs Trelleborgs FF?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Trelleborgs FF win (54%). Probabilities: Tvååkers IF 23%, draw 23%, Trelleborgs FF 54%.

How many goals are expected in Tvååkers IF vs Trelleborgs FF?

The model expects 3.59 goals (Tvååkers IF 1.41 · Trelleborgs FF 2.19), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Tvååkers IF vs Trelleborgs FF?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.