Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 02/08, 15:00

Prediction: AFC Eskilstuna vs Umeå FC

Team pages: AFC Eskilstuna · Umeå FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

AFC Eskilstuna1.72

Umeå FC1.44

1X2

43% 25% 32%

AFC Eskilstuna Draw Umeå FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

AFC Eskilstuna 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWDLWWWWDW

Umeå FC 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDWDLDDWLL

Head-to-head

AFC Eskilstuna 2–2 Umeå FC (4 last)

AFC Eskilstuna3-1Umeå FC
Umeå FC3-1AFC Eskilstuna
Umeå FC0-3AFC Eskilstuna
AFC Eskilstuna1-3Umeå FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AFC Eskilstuna 1556 · Umeå FC 1489

	AFC Eskilstuna	Draw	Umeå FC
Our model	43%	25%	31%
Market	44%	24%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AFC Eskilstuna (rating 1556 vs 1489).
High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AFC Eskilstuna	Umeå FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.1	1.7 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.4	3.4 / 7.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	3.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.70

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
20:15 +12’	2.05	3.70	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · AFC Eskilstuna 2–0–2 Umeå FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
15/09/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	AFC Eskilstuna	3-1 HT 1-1	Umeå FC
23/06/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	Umeå FC	3-1 HT 0-1	AFC Eskilstuna
27/09/20 Sweden Superettan	Umeå FC	0-3 HT 0-2	AFC Eskilstuna
27/06/20 Sweden Superettan	AFC Eskilstuna	1-3 HT 1-0	Umeå FC

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hammarby TFF	14	10	2	2	38	11	32
2	IF Karlstad Fotboll	14	9	3	2	22	9	30
3	FC Arlanda	14	8	5	1	23	10	29
4	FC Stockholm Internazionale	14	8	3	3	28	14	27
5	Enkopings SK	14	8	1	5	24	23	25
6	FBK Karlstad	14	7	3	4	23	20	24
7	AFC Eskilstuna	14	5	4	5	23	24	19
8	Karlbergs BK	14	5	3	6	23	23	18
9	Umeå FC	14	4	4	6	20	24	16
10	FC Järfälla	14	4	3	7	21	27	15
11	Vasalunds IF	14	4	3	7	20	30	15
12	Assyriska Föreningen	14	3	5	6	22	29	14
13	Gefle IF	14	4	2	8	17	29	14
14	Sollentuna United FF	14	2	7	5	12	19	13
15	Piteå IF	14	2	3	9	16	32	9
16	IFK Stocksund	14	1	5	8	28	36	8

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AFC Eskilstuna	Umeå FC
Sollentuna United FF	4-1 W	1-1 D
Piteå IF	2-2 D	2-0 W
Assyriska Föreningen	1-0 W	5-1 W
Karlbergs BK	3-2 W	2-1 W
Enkopings SK	1-2 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

AFC Eskilstuna

LWDLWWWWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/06	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	4-1	4	2	W
21/06	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-2	9	2	D
14/06	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
09/06	Konyaspor KIF Sweden Cup Qualification	1-0	2-0	9	3	W
04/06	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	3-2	4	4	W
30/05	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	2-1	1	3	W
24/05	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-3	4	6	L
18/05	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	7	1	D
13/05	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-0	0	1	W
08/05	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-2	5	4	L

Umeå FC

WDWDLDDWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/06	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-3	11	4	L
21/06	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-3	5	3	L
12/06	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	2-0	10	1	W
07/06	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-1	7	3	D
31/05	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	2-2	6	3	D
24/05	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
17/05	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-1	5	3	D
14/05	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	5-1	12	4	W
09/05	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	2-2	4	8	D
03/05	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-1	11	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AFC Eskilstuna vs Umeå FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AFC Eskilstuna win (43%). Probabilities: AFC Eskilstuna 43%, draw 25%, Umeå FC 32%.

How many goals are expected in AFC Eskilstuna vs Umeå FC?

The model expects 3.16 goals (AFC Eskilstuna 1.72 · Umeå FC 1.44), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in AFC Eskilstuna vs Umeå FC?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.