Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 12/09, 16:00

Prediction: Atvidabergs FF vs BK Olympic

Team pages: Atvidabergs FF · BK Olympic

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.03Total

Atvidabergs FF2.41

BK Olympic1.62

1X2

54% 22% 24%

Atvidabergs FF Draw BK Olympic

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Atvidabergs FF 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWWDLWWWLD

BK Olympic 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWWWWLDLLW

Head-to-head

Atvidabergs FF 3–1–1 BK Olympic (5 last)

BK Olympic2-3Atvidabergs FF
Atvidabergs FF2-1BK Olympic
BK Olympic0-1Atvidabergs FF
Atvidabergs FF0-1BK Olympic
BK Olympic2-2Atvidabergs FF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atvidabergs FF 1541 · BK Olympic 1488

	Atvidabergs FF	Draw	BK Olympic
Our model	55%	21%	25%
Market	54%	22%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 4.03 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atvidabergs FF (rating 1541 vs 1488).
H2H favours Atvidabergs FF: 3-1-1.
High corners: 13.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atvidabergs FF	BK Olympic
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.7	2.2 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 0.9	1.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/0/30%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 7.1	3.7 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.1	2.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.67

X4.00

23.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 4.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
15:59 +16’	1.67	4.00	3.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Atvidabergs FF 3–1–1 BK Olympic

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	BK Olympic	2-3 HT 0-2	Atvidabergs FF
07/10/23 Sweden 1.div Södra	Atvidabergs FF	2-1 HT 0-1	BK Olympic
22/04/23 Sweden 1.div Södra	BK Olympic	0-1 HT 0-1	Atvidabergs FF
21/08/22 Sweden 1.div Södra	Atvidabergs FF	0-1 HT 0-0	BK Olympic
11/06/22 Sweden 1.div Södra	BK Olympic	2-2 HT 0-1	Atvidabergs FF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	20	11	6	3	42	23	39
2	Hässleholms IF	20	12	3	5	40	24	39
3	Atvidabergs FF	20	10	6	4	42	30	36
4	Lunds BK	20	9	8	3	42	26	35
5	FC Rosengård 1917	20	9	7	4	35	26	34
6	Tvååkers IF	20	9	5	6	28	28	32
7	Ariana FC Malmo	20	8	7	5	39	31	31
8	Jonkopings Sodra	20	7	5	8	25	20	26
9	BK Olympic	20	8	2	10	36	40	26
10	Eskilsminne IF	20	7	4	9	32	37	25
11	FC Trollhättan	20	6	7	7	28	33	25
12	Skövde AIK	20	5	9	6	20	29	24
13	Kristianstad FC	20	5	5	10	25	33	20
14	Laholms FK	20	5	3	12	27	38	18
15	Angelholm	20	3	8	9	25	36	17
16	Utsiktens BK	20	1	5	14	17	49	8

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atvidabergs FF	BK Olympic
Ariana FC Malmo	2-2 D	2-2 D
Angelholm	4-1 W	5-0 W
Skövde AIK	2-1 W	3-1 W
Tvååkers IF	2-1 W	3-4 L
Eskilsminne IF	4-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atvidabergs FF

DWWDLWWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	2-2	4	3	D
29/08	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	1-4	2-5	6	3	L
22/08	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	4-1	2	2	W
16/08	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-1	8	2	W
08/08	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-1	13	5	W
01/08	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-2	16	3	L
27/06	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	3-2	3-3	4	3	D
17/06	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	3-0	6	0	W
13/06	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	3-0	4-0	2	3	W
07/06	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-2	10	4	D

BK Olympic

DWWWWLDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	5-0	9	1	W
28/08	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-4	1-7	5	3	L
22/08	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-2	3-4	9	2	L
15/08	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-2	6	4	D
09/08	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-2	8	2	L
01/08	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	3-0	3-1	8	3	W
28/06	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	2-1	5	4	W
21/06	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-1	6	3	W
13/06	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	3-1	3-2	5	4	W
08/06	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-1	0	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atvidabergs FF vs BK Olympic?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atvidabergs FF win (54%). Probabilities: Atvidabergs FF 54%, draw 22%, BK Olympic 24%.

How many goals are expected in Atvidabergs FF vs BK Olympic?

The model expects 4.03 goals (Atvidabergs FF 2.41 · BK Olympic 1.62), with a 56% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Atvidabergs FF vs BK Olympic?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.