Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 12/09, 13:00

Prediction: Trelleborgs FF vs Hässleholms IF

Team pages: Trelleborgs FF · Hässleholms IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.79Total

Trelleborgs FF1.61

Hässleholms IF1.18

1X2

47% 26% 28%

Trelleborgs FF Draw Hässleholms IF

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Trelleborgs FF 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWWDDWLLWL

Hässleholms IF 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WLDWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Trelleborgs FF 1–1–0 Hässleholms IF (2 last)

Hässleholms IF0-2Trelleborgs FF
Hässleholms IF2-2Trelleborgs FF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Trelleborgs FF 1502 · Hässleholms IF 1587

	Trelleborgs FF	Draw	Hässleholms IF
Our model	46%	27%	27%
Market	47%	25%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hässleholms IF (rating 1502 vs 1587).
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Trelleborgs FF	Hässleholms IF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.3	2.1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	1.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	80/0/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.1 / 6.9	1.2 / 2.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.60

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
15:50 +9’	1.90	3.60	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Trelleborgs FF 1–1–0 Hässleholms IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/06/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	Hässleholms IF	0-2 HT 0-1	Trelleborgs FF
21/08/18 Sweden Cup Qualification	Hässleholms IF	2-2 HT 1-1	Trelleborgs FF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	20	11	6	3	42	23	39
2	Hässleholms IF	20	12	3	5	40	24	39
3	Atvidabergs FF	20	10	6	4	42	30	36
4	Lunds BK	20	9	8	3	42	26	35
5	FC Rosengård 1917	20	9	7	4	35	26	34
6	Tvååkers IF	20	9	5	6	28	28	32
7	Ariana FC Malmo	20	8	7	5	39	31	31
8	Jonkopings Sodra	20	7	5	8	25	20	26
9	BK Olympic	20	8	2	10	36	40	26
10	Eskilsminne IF	20	7	4	9	32	37	25
11	FC Trollhättan	20	6	7	7	28	33	25
12	Skövde AIK	20	5	9	6	20	29	24
13	Kristianstad FC	20	5	5	10	25	33	20
14	Laholms FK	20	5	3	12	27	38	18
15	Angelholm	20	3	8	9	25	36	17
16	Utsiktens BK	20	1	5	14	17	49	8

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Trelleborgs FF	Hässleholms IF
Skövde AIK	1-2 L	2-2 D
Utsiktens BK	2-1 W	2-0 W
Eskilsminne IF	1-3 L	2-0 W
Lunds BK	2-2 D	3-0 W
Kristianstad FC	0-0 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Hässleholms IF (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Trelleborgs FF

WWWDDWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-2	11	1	L
30/08	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-1	5	0	W
22/08	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-2	8	3	L
16/08	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-2	1-3	5	5	L
08/08	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-1	8	2	W
02/08	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-2	3	4	D
26/06	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
18/06	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	2-2	3-2	3	4	W
14/06	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	15	6	W
07/06	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	4-0	7	1	W

Hässleholms IF

WLDWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-1	6	3	W
29/08	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
24/08	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-1	0	5	W
14/08	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	3-0	2	4	W
08/08	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	1	4	W
01/08	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
26/06	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	3-1	4-2	4	1	W
18/06	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-2	2	2	D
14/06	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-2	2	6	L
04/06	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	2-1	2	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Trelleborgs FF vs Hässleholms IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Trelleborgs FF win (47%). Probabilities: Trelleborgs FF 47%, draw 26%, Hässleholms IF 28%.

How many goals are expected in Trelleborgs FF vs Hässleholms IF?

The model expects 2.79 goals (Trelleborgs FF 1.61 · Hässleholms IF 1.18), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Trelleborgs FF vs Hässleholms IF?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.