Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 11/09, 19:00

Prediction: Lunds BK vs FC Rosengård 1917

Team pages: Lunds BK · FC Rosengård 1917

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.24Total

Lunds BK1.7

FC Rosengård 19171.54

1X2

41% 25% 34%

Lunds BK Draw FC Rosengård 1917

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Lunds BK 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DLDWDDLWWD

FC Rosengård 1917 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WWLDWDDDWW

Head-to-head

Lunds BK 3–1–2 FC Rosengård 1917 (6 last)

FC Rosengård 19172-2Lunds BK
Lunds BK1-2FC Rosengård 1917
Lunds BK1-0FC Rosengård 1917
FC Rosengård 19170-1Lunds BK
Lunds BK2-1FC Rosengård 1917
FC Rosengård 19174-1Lunds BK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lunds BK 1513 · FC Rosengård 1917 1550

	Lunds BK	Draw	FC Rosengård 1917
Our model	41%	25%	34%
Market	41%	25%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.24 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Lunds BK: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lunds BK	FC Rosengård 1917
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.6	2.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	1.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 7	3.2 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.60

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Pinn 2.25
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.63 → 2.63	Pinn 2.77 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
18:37 +1’	2.20	3.60	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:23 +154’	2.25	3.48	2.77

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lunds BK 3–1–2 FC Rosengård 1917

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	FC Rosengård 1917	2-2 HT 0-0	Lunds BK
28/02/26 Club Friendly List	Lunds BK	1-2 HT 0-2	FC Rosengård 1917
26/09/25 Sweden 1.div Södra	Lunds BK	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Rosengård 1917
23/05/25 Sweden 1.div Södra	FC Rosengård 1917	0-1 HT 0-1	Lunds BK
11/03/25 Club Friendly List	Lunds BK	2-1 HT 1-1	FC Rosengård 1917
27/10/24 Sweden 1.div Södra	FC Rosengård 1917	4-1 HT 2-0	Lunds BK

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	20	11	6	3	42	23	39
2	Hässleholms IF	20	12	3	5	40	24	39
3	Atvidabergs FF	20	10	6	4	42	30	36
4	Lunds BK	20	9	8	3	42	26	35
5	FC Rosengård 1917	20	9	7	4	35	26	34
6	Tvååkers IF	20	9	5	6	28	28	32
7	Ariana FC Malmo	20	8	7	5	39	31	31
8	Jonkopings Sodra	20	7	5	8	25	20	26
9	BK Olympic	20	8	2	10	36	40	26
10	Eskilsminne IF	20	7	4	9	32	37	25
11	FC Trollhättan	20	6	7	7	28	33	25
12	Skövde AIK	20	5	9	6	20	29	24
13	Kristianstad FC	20	5	5	10	25	33	20
14	Laholms FK	20	5	3	12	27	38	18
15	Angelholm	20	3	8	9	25	36	17
16	Utsiktens BK	20	1	5	14	17	49	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lunds BK	FC Rosengård 1917
Utsiktens BK	1-1 D	1-1 D
Skövde AIK	1-1 D	3-0 W
Trelleborgs FF	2-2 D	2-3 L
Jonkopings Sodra	0-0 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	0 W 4 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lunds BK

DLDWDDLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
28/08	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	4-1	7-1	8	3	W
22/08	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	5-2	3	2	W
14/08	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-3	9	4	L
08/08	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
02/08	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-2	4	4	D
27/06	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-1	8	4	W
18/06	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
12/06	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	0-3	1-4	10	1	L
07/06	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	1-1	13	1	D

FC Rosengård 1917

WWLDWDDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	4-2	7	5	W
29/08	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	3-2	3	5	W
22/08	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
16/08	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-1	4	0	D
08/08	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	9	2	D
02/08	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	3-1	4-2	6	3	W
27/06	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	2-3	3-3	6	3	D
18/06	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	2-2	2-3	4	4	L
14/06	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	3-0	5	3	W
08/06	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-0	10	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lunds BK vs FC Rosengård 1917?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lunds BK win (41%). Probabilities: Lunds BK 41%, draw 25%, FC Rosengård 1917 34%.

How many goals are expected in Lunds BK vs FC Rosengård 1917?

The model expects 3.24 goals (Lunds BK 1.7 · FC Rosengård 1917 1.54), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Lunds BK vs FC Rosengård 1917?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.