Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · 13/09, 15:45

Prediction: IFK Lidingo vs Helges IF

Team pages: IFK Lidingo · Helges IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.37Total

IFK Lidingo2.07

Helges IF1.3

1X2

55% 22% 23%

IFK Lidingo Draw Helges IF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

IFK Lidingo 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

DLDLLWLLLL

Helges IF 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLLLDD

Head-to-head

IFK Lidingo 1–0 Helges IF (1 last)

Helges IF1-2IFK Lidingo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IFK Lidingo 1428 · Helges IF 1412

	IFK Lidingo	Draw	Helges IF
Our model	54%	23%	23%
Market	55%	22%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 3.37 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IFK Lidingo	Helges IF
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.3	1 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.1	0.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.1	0.5 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.3	3.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.65

X4.10

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
18:52 +6’	1.65	4.10	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Lidingo 1–0–0 Helges IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Helges IF	1-2 HT 1-0	IFK Lidingo

Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · Norra Svealand

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Skiljebo SK	20	13	5	2	47	23	44
2	Ängby IF	20	12	6	2	40	22	42
3	Sunnersta AIF	20	12	5	3	47	18	41
4	Falu BS FK	20	12	4	4	32	20	40
5	Enskede IK	21	12	4	5	33	22	40
6	Taby FK	20	10	4	6	35	21	34
7	Bollstanäs SK	20	7	7	6	38	36	28
8	FC Gute	20	7	5	8	31	29	26
9	IK Franke	20	7	4	9	33	32	25
10	Kungsängens IF	21	2	10	9	21	33	16
11	Viggbyholms IK	20	4	4	12	17	37	16
12	IFK Lidingo	20	3	5	12	21	41	14
13	Korsnas IF FK	20	2	5	13	19	47	11
14	Helges IF	20	2	4	14	16	49	10

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IFK Lidingo	Helges IF
Skiljebo SK	1-2 L	2-4 L
Kungsängens IF	1-0 W	1-1 D
Falu BS FK	0-2 L	1-2 L
Taby FK	1-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IFK Lidingo

DLDLLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Skiljebo SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	1-2	7	4	L
29/08	FC Gute Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-4	–	–	L
23/08	Enskede IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-2	1-3	3	1	L
15/08	Viggbyholms IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-3	9	3	L
07/08	Kungsängens IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
01/08	Ängby IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-0	2-3	1	4	L
27/06	Falu BS FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
21/06	Kungsängens IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	1-1	3	1	D
14/06	Taby FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-3	1-3	5	5	L
07/06	Viggbyholms IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	2-2	7	5	D

Helges IF

LLLLWLLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Taby FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
30/08	Kungsängens IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	1-1	1	6	D
23/08	Falu BS FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
16/08	Skiljebo SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-2	2-4	4	5	L
09/08	Bollstanäs SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-2	0-5	–	–	L
01/08	Korsnas IF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
25/06	Sunnersta AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-3	2	2	L
21/06	Taby FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-3	2	4	L
14/06	Korsnas IF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-2	1-3	6	6	L
07/06	Kungsängens IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-2	1-4	6	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IFK Lidingo vs Helges IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IFK Lidingo win (55%). Probabilities: IFK Lidingo 55%, draw 22%, Helges IF 23%.

How many goals are expected in IFK Lidingo vs Helges IF?

The model expects 3.37 goals (IFK Lidingo 2.07 · Helges IF 1.3), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in IFK Lidingo vs Helges IF?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.